Market pricing has tipped in favour of ‘no rate cut’ at the upcoming Bank of England (BoE) meeting in June after UK CPI came in higher than expected this morning. Markets were assigning a 50/50 chance of a rate cut in June before the CPI release according to data from Reuters. The probability of a cut has now dropped to 15%. It’s not that the data was bad, it just...
With EUR/USD set to post its first positive month of the year, let’s take a look at why the dollar rally has faltered, the key levels to watch, and the trend continuation pattern emerging on lower timeframes.
Dollar Rally Falters
The rally in the US dollar has faltered in recent weeks as traders bet on falling inflation giving the Federal Reserve more room...
AI powerhouse, Nvidia is set to unveil its first-quarter earnings for 2025 on Wednesday, May 22nd.
With anticipation running high, let's delve into what to expect from Nvidia's upcoming earnings release.
Can Nvidia Beat the Street?
Analysts are bracing for another set of impressive numbers from Nvidia, projecting first-quarter revenues to soar to...
Gold (XAU/USD) has started the week off strong pushing beyond the previous all-time high set in April. The precious metal continues to find support from expectations of rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, which have strengthened after the CPI reading last week. Whilst the data was nothing to write home about, it confirmed the expectations for a decline and...
When it comes to effective trade management, overcoming the fear of taking a loss can be one of the biggest obstacles. Let's delve into strategies to address this hurdle head-on.
2 Truths and a Lie
Which of the following two statements do you believe to be a lie?
A: Successful trading is about achieving behavioural consistency.
B: Successful trading is...
The UK labour market report released this morning showed job losses, rising unemployment and persistent wage pressures. But the report doesn’t seem to have changed much for the market as the focus remains on the two inflation reports that will be delivered before the next BoE meeting in June. GBP/USD was a marginal move higher after the release but the pair pulled...
The year of the dragon is proving lucky for Chinese stocks. Since mid-January, the FTSE China A50 Index, representing the top 50 companies in China's A-share market, has rallied more than 18%.
Let’s delve into the driving forces behind this resurgence in Chinese stocks and the emerging trend continuation pattern observed on the price chart of the China A50.
...
Investors will likely turn their attention towards the US CPI data released on Wednesday. Unlike in Europe, inflation has been surprisingly stubborn in the US in the past few months, and that has been limiting the Federal Reserve’s ability to start considering cutting rates. Whilst the resilience in the economic data has been keeping US equities supported, the...
Global equities are back pursuing new highs in force. European indices have been standing out in the past week with the FTSE 100, DAX 40 and EURO STOXX 50 all beating the performance of US equities. The outlook seems brighter in Europe as growth has remained positive in the first quarter of the year and that has been driving the push higher.
The DAX 40 has...
With OPEC's Oil Market Report set for release on Tuesday and the International Energy Agency's Oil Market Report on Wednesday, volatility looms over crude prices this week. Let's delve into the technical landscape of Brent Crude, the international oil benchmark, as we approach these pivotal reports.
Brent Technical Outlook: Retracement Channel in Focus
After...
The FTSE 100’s recent surge has been led by the pharmaceutical sector, marking a 13.7% increase in just the last month. Let’s delve into the standout performers that are leading the rally.
AstraZeneca (AZN): +14.5% YTD
AstraZeneca’s share price jumped higher following the release of a market-beating set of results…
In the first quarter of 2024, AstraZeneca...
The Bank of England has left rates unchanged at 5.25% as widely expected. But the vote split from the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) members did come as somewhat of a surprise, with seven members voting unchanged and two voting to cut. Swati Dhingra was expected to vote to cut rates by 25bps as she did in the previous meeting, but Dave Ramsden’s vote to cut was...
As gold prices recalibrate in recent weeks, let’s explore pivotal levels worth monitoring for potential trend continuation and mean reversion trades.
Pullback Leads to Price Compression
After a robust surge of over 20% between February and April, gold has entered a phase of 'mean reversion' over the past fortnight.
Gold prices have retraced to the basis of...
Gold traders have been struggling to find a direction in recent weeks as some of the key drivers have diminished. XAU/USD has been hovering around $2,310 for the past eight days as there is a lack of drive to be either a seller or buyer under the current conditions.
The de-escalation of tensions between Iran and Israel has removed some of the bullish appetite in...
Welcome to the final instalment of our series on hunting for trend days. In Part 1, we covered the fundamental characteristics of trend days and essential tools for identifying them early. Part 2 delved into advanced strategies for maximising opportunities and effectively managing trades during trend days. Now, let's explore case studies of successful trend day...
Volatility in USDJPY has increased over the past few days as markets believe Japanese officials may have secretly intervened in the FX market. The pair breached the 160 mark earlier in the week but did a quick turnaround and headed back towards 154, prompting speculation of an intervention.
The fact the Bank of Japan kept rates unchanged on Friday weighed...
Welcome back to the second part of our series on hunting for trend days. In Part 1, we explored the fundamental characteristics of trend days and the essential tools for identifying them early. Now, let's delve deeper into advanced strategies for maximising opportunities and effectively managing trades during trend days.
Advanced Strategies for Identifying...
As Amazon gears up to announce its first-quarter earnings for 2024 after today’s closing bell (April 30th), traders are poised to capitalise on the potential volatility and opportunities that this news event may bring to the market.
Let's delve deeper into what investors can expect from Amazon's Q1 earnings by examining market expectations, growth drivers, and...
