Although oil prices were trading higher at the time of this writing, it is becoming increasingly difficult to foresee a big rally at this stage, without any supply-side shocks.
WTI's price action has been quite heavy as it continues to make lower lows and lower highs. While it has held its own around the December 2023 levels of around $67.00 to $68.00 area, this...
Whether you’re talking price action or momentum, AUD/USD looks terrible on the daily, taking out the intersection of the US election lows and downtrend support with ease on Wednesday.
Momentum is with the bears; RSI (14) has cut its uptrend like a hot knife through butter while MACD has crossed over from above, confirming the bearish signal. Selling rips and...
Hang Seng futures look heavy. Friday’s bearish engulfing candle has been followed by two consecutive declines, leaving the price teetering just above horizontal support at 20280.
With RSI (14) and MACD providing bearish signals on momentum, the inclination is to sell rallies in the near-term. It may also see a potential break of 20280 stick where so many other...
The SPX hit a new all-time high at the open, adding to its big gains from last week when Trump won the US election quite comfortably in the end. But the index it has since drifted lower, moving back below last week's high of 6013, potentially suggesting that the bullish momentum is fading after being up for several days. At the time of writing, it was approaching...
A lack of direct stimulus measures in China likely contributed to the rough end for crude oil last week, with prices not only breaking minor uptrend support but also closing below the 50-day moving average.
It’s the latter that’s got me eyeing a potential short setup. The ratio of how often the price has traded through this level versus how often the break has...
The pound rallied following the Bank of England’s decision to cut interest rates earlier. Governor Bailey refrained from defining what “gradual” would mean for the pace of future cuts. The GBP/USD rally was aided by a sharp drop in the US dollar. The focus is now turning to the FOMC rate decision, which means the greenback could change course again.
The Bank of...
The Dow has broken key support around 42000 as per the hourly chart above. The breakdown could lead to more selling pressure as we near the US presidential election, which is finally weighing on sentiment given how close the polls are. The DJIA has already broken a bullish trend line, so the path of least resistance in the next 24-48 hours is likely to be to the...
Bearish reversal patterns generated by USD/CAD on the daily timeframe have enjoyed a decent track record recently, especially following a pronounced bullish trend. That makes today's early price action interesting, with the price reversing hard after closing at fresh 2024 highs on Friday.
As the daily candle has yet to be competed, getting short pre-emptively...
Following the weaker US NFP data and thanks to strong performance from Amazon, the S&P 500 rallied. But this comes hot on the heels of a big drop the day before, which means the recovery could fade if Thursday marked a reversal day in the markets.
At the time of writing, the SPX 500 was testing resistance right around the 5770-5775 area. Previously this was a...
Gold has finally buckled under pressure from rising yields and US dollar, with stocks also hit hard. Rising yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing assets.
The precious metal has just broken its bullish trend line after failing to hold above key support at $2770.
It has subsequently broken the next support seen between $2753 to...
The picture for Australian ASX 200 SPI futures look good if you're a bear.
We've seen a bearish engulfing candle on Wednesday with follow-through selling today, accompanied by an uptick in volumes. Momentum indicators are providing bearish signals, too.
But it is month-end and the price does find itself sitting on the 50DMA, a level that has been respected...
the USD/JPY has been consolidating its recent gains in the last couple of days, with price testing the upper band of the 152.85 - 151.95 support area after retreating from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level circa 153.40. This week's mixed US data has taken some shine off the US dollar, but with the election uncertainty hanging over the markets, the dollar is...
AUD/JPY looks primed for downside.
The price has broken the uptrend it's been sitting in since late September. RSI (14) is trending lower with the bearish signal confirmed by MACD. And one look at the topside wicks above 101.00 suggests sellers are lurking and unwilling to budge.
If the price manages to close beneath the uptrend, you could sell with a stop...
USD/JPY remains a play on the US interest rate outlook, sitting with an incredibly strong correlation with US two-year Treasury note futures of -0.98 over the past fortnight. When short-dated US debt futures have moved in a particular direction, USD/JPY has almost always done the opposite, mirroring US Treasury yields.
With there's no obvious reversal pattern...
Stocks rebounded on Monday with oil prices taking a 5% plunge, amid an apparent easing in Middle East tension. The restrained reaction by Israel after recent attacks has spurred optimism, with markets hoping for stability in the region. European indices closed higher as we begin a very busy two weeks, with lots of data, US election and central banks meetings on...
EUR/AUD closed above the 50-day moving average on Friday after a successful break of 1.6318.
After opening Monday marginally higher, the price pushed lower to retest 1.6318 before bouncing strongly towards the European open, providing the framework for the bullish setup.
It’s not appealing from a risk-reward perspective to buy around these levels with the...
After bouncing off the trend line that has been in place since October 2023, around 1.0760, the selling seems to have resumed in the EUR/USD today. Price has found resistance right off the 1.0835-40 region. This area has provided some support at the back end of last week, before giving way earlier this week. Once support, it has turned into resistance. From here,...
Crude oil prices were over 3% higher this week, but as i mentioned in my previous post, the risks remained tilted towards the downside following a 9% drop the previous week. Lo and behold, WTI has now turned sharply lower after testing broken support between $71.50 to $72.50 area in the last couple of days. At the time of writing, it was back to the $70.00 level,...
