Market analysis from FOREX.com
Gold has extended its slump, now off by more than $230 (-6.5%) from yesterday's record high of $3.5K. Unwinding of "Sell America" trades continue as risk assets rally on Trump's trade optimism. Key levels to watch With short-term support broken at $3,342, this level has already turned into resistance. The next support was at $3,284. This level has just been...
USDJPY is currently retesting its 2024 lows and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level of the uptrend from January 2023 to July 2024, near the critical 139 zone. The daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) is now in oversold territory—levels that have previously marked key reversals for USDJPY in both 2023 and 2024. If a reversal takes hold, potential resistance...
From a monthly perspective, Gold’s broader trajectory appears to align with a classic cup and handle formation, targeting the $3,700 and $4,000 per ounce levels—supported by a clear hold above $3,500. However, given the steep momentum currently in play, significant headwinds are likely as the market consolidates. These may serve to recharge monthly momentum that...
Over the past five trading sessions, the USD/MXN pair has declined by more than 2%, as the Mexican peso continues to gain ground against the U.S. dollar. This bullish trend in the peso is partly driven by the ongoing weakness in the U.S. dollar, as reflected in the DXY index, which has fallen to 99 points, its lowest level in the past year. The dollar’s weakness...
The signal from last week’s bullish engulfing candle on ASX 200 SPI futures has proven reliable so far, with the price rocketing above 7900 on Monday, providing a platform to establish long positions around. With optimism building over trade deals between the United States and major partners, including China, bulls may look to enter above 7900 with a stop beneath...
Bitcoin has climbed above the $90K level for the first time since early March. Is this an indication of risk appetite improving, or are investors buying Bitcoin for the same reason they are buying gold? In any case, as traders, we care about the HOWs and WHEREs more than the WHYs. With that in mind, it is worth keeping an eye on the next areas of potential...
AUD/USD sits at a key level, banging up against the dominant uptrend dating back to October 2022. You can see from past price interaction how pivotal this trendline has been — initially acting as support before flipping to resistance after being broken late last year. The bullish engulfing weekly candle from early April flagged what’s since played out, hinting...
Over the last three trading weeks, the GBP/JPY pair has depreciated by more than 3%, establishing a firm bearish bias in favor of the yen in the short term. This perspective has remained intact primarily due to growing expectations of a more dovish monetary policy from the Bank of England, which left its interest rate unchanged at 4.5% in its latest meeting....
Gold exploded higher again on Monday, climbing to $3,413, a new all-time high. The uptrend remains unstoppable for now: 🚀 Price is up nearly +2.6% on the day 📈 Strong support from rising trendline and 50-day SMA 📊 MACD is accelerating, signaling strong momentum ⚠️ RSI has entered overbought territory at 76.83, but no bearish divergence yet The trend is your...
The U.S. dollar continues to slide against the Swiss franc, with USD/CHF falling below 0.8100 and hitting its lowest level since 2015. The technical picture remains heavily bearish: 📉 Price is well below the 50- and 200-day SMAs ⚠️ RSI is deeply oversold at 26.21, but showing no bullish divergence yet 📉 MACD is accelerating to the downside, confirming downside...
The euro continues its sharp ascent, breaking convincingly above key resistance at 1.1200 and now eyeing the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement near 1.1745. Momentum remains firmly bullish: 🚀 Price has surged through both the 50- and 200-day SMAs 📈 MACD is accelerating higher, showing strong bullish momentum 📊 RSI is nearing overbought territory at 74.92, but not...
Gold is rallying on a combination of safe-haven flows and Dollar weakness, approaching the $3,420 resistance. While momentum is elevated—resembling crisis-era extremes—further gains are possible amid continued uncertainty. If $3,420-$3450 zone holds, aligning with key Fibonacci extensions (drawn from the 2018 lows, 2020 highs, and 2022 lows), and trendline...
As the U.S. dollar lingers near 3-year lows, the euro is testing 3-year highs—holding critical resistance zone at 1.1520. This level marks a pivotal point, further challenging the broader downtrend that has shaped the EUR/USD chart since 2008. A confirmed breakout above 1.1520 could open the door to further upside toward 1.17 and 1.20, revisiting the highs last...
Following a sharp rebound from the $55 low—mirroring broader market strength and gains in U.S. indices—oil is now hovering near a key resistance level at $64. Meanwhile, major U.S. indices remain below their respective resistance zones, awaiting confirmation of further uptrends. A sustained break and hold above $64 could open the door for additional upside toward...
Following softer Canadian CPI data, the Bank of Canada held interest rates steady at 2.75%, sending USDCAD toward the 1.3820 support level — an area that aligns with the November 2024 lows and a key resistance zone extending back to the highs of September 2022. The 1.3820 low aligns with the 0.272 Fibonacci retracement of the uptrend from May 2021 to January...
Crude oil prices were already on the ascendency but have just hit fresh highs on the day after the latest Trump remarks: WILL MAKE GOOD DEAL WITH CHINA WE WILL HAVE A DEAL WITH CHINA But... *TRUMP SAYS HE'S IN 'NO RUSH' TO CLOSE DEALS Anyway WTI has risen to session highs, now testing a major resistance area around $65 give or take $1. The area is shaded on...
There's a quote from legendary investor John Templeton that goes like this: "The time of maximum pessimism is the best time to buy, and the time of maximum optimism is the best time to sell." This is contrarian, of course, but there's also a lot to it if we try to unwrap it. But first I want to start off even broader than that. I try to often remind myself of...
Weekly charts can be helpful for tracking the motion of the ocean, or larger dominant trends. And so far in 2025, that trend has been quite bearish for the US Dollar and this showed up even with the Greenback coming into 2025 with a full head of steam. But last week something that's somewhat rare showed up - as weekly RSI on DXY went into oversold territory for...