AUD/JPY looks primed for downside.
The price has broken the uptrend it's been sitting in since late September. RSI (14) is trending lower with the bearish signal confirmed by MACD. And one look at the topside wicks above 101.00 suggests sellers are lurking and unwilling to budge.
If the price manages to close beneath the uptrend, you could sell with a stop...
USD/JPY remains a play on the US interest rate outlook, sitting with an incredibly strong correlation with US two-year Treasury note futures of -0.98 over the past fortnight. When short-dated US debt futures have moved in a particular direction, USD/JPY has almost always done the opposite, mirroring US Treasury yields.
With there's no obvious reversal pattern...
Stocks rebounded on Monday with oil prices taking a 5% plunge, amid an apparent easing in Middle East tension. The restrained reaction by Israel after recent attacks has spurred optimism, with markets hoping for stability in the region. European indices closed higher as we begin a very busy two weeks, with lots of data, US election and central banks meetings on...
EUR/AUD closed above the 50-day moving average on Friday after a successful break of 1.6318.
After opening Monday marginally higher, the price pushed lower to retest 1.6318 before bouncing strongly towards the European open, providing the framework for the bullish setup.
It’s not appealing from a risk-reward perspective to buy around these levels with the...
After bouncing off the trend line that has been in place since October 2023, around 1.0760, the selling seems to have resumed in the EUR/USD today. Price has found resistance right off the 1.0835-40 region. This area has provided some support at the back end of last week, before giving way earlier this week. Once support, it has turned into resistance. From here,...
Crude oil prices were over 3% higher this week, but as i mentioned in my previous post, the risks remained tilted towards the downside following a 9% drop the previous week. Lo and behold, WTI has now turned sharply lower after testing broken support between $71.50 to $72.50 area in the last couple of days. At the time of writing, it was back to the $70.00 level,...
The Swiss franc has held up remarkably well this week despite some of the G10 FX moves against the USD.
Sitting in a rising wedge, it was rejected at uptrend resistance on Wednesday, deliver an inverse candle on the daily. The price now finds itself resting on uptrend support and looks heavy. RSI (14) has diverged from price but the bearish signal on momentum...
Higher US Treasury yields has propelled USD/JPY through the 200DMA and 151.95, the latter an important technical level corresponding with prior episodes of Bank of Japan intervention.
If it manages to hold above 151.95, traders could consider buying the break with a tight stop either below it or the 200DMA for protection. There's little visible resistance...
Crude oil prices have rebounded by over 3% so far this week, though risks remain tilted towards the downside following a 9% drop the previous week. WTI crude has now reclaimed the crucial $70.00 level, but still below the broken support $71.50 to $72.50 area, which it was testing at the time of writing.
Middle East tensions have slightly stabilized as Israel has...
Whether it reflects US economic exceptionalism reducing the need for large-scale rate cuts from the Federal Reserve or improved prospects for Donald Trump winning the US Presidential election, or a combination of both, it’s obvious the US interest rate outlook is dictating direction across FX markets.
Higher US yields are sucking capital from other parts of the...
The EUR/USD's brighter start faded as the session wore on, with the US dollar rebounding across the board. Today’s macro calendar has been quite quiet apart from that bigger than expected rate cut by China’s central bank we saw overnight. In fact, there won’t be much in the way of any important scheduled data release until Thursday’s publication of the PMI numbers...
Bitcoin’s break of downtrend resistance has opened the door for a run towards the record highs set in March, especially with the price action today suggesting the break will stick.
Even though RSI (14) is nearing overbought territory, both it and MACD continue to offer bullish signals on momentum. One look at historic price patterns also tells you overbought...
bitcoin was testing its old all time high made in 2021 at $69K at the time of writing. If it can hold above here, then it may soon challenge this year's all-time high of $73.8K next. Can it get there? Key short-term support is now see around $67.5K which will need to hold to sustain this latest attempt to break out.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Thursday's bearish engulfing candle has seen the price move below 1.6188, a level that has acted as both support and resistance over recent weeks.
If the price can remain beneath this level into the European open, consider shorting below with a stop above for protection.
The initial target would be 1.6115. If that were to give way, a retest of 1.6000 could be...
Following Tuesday's drop, the markets stabilised on Wednesday in a quiet trade and now the S&P has hit a new record high, lifting the Nasdaq 100 with it. This is despite continued weakness in China, where the government’s latest attempt to shore up the property market, failed to lift sentiment overnight. The recovery has been driven by tech sector after results...
Russell 2000 futures closed at cycle highs on Wednesday, benefitting apparently from optimism Donald Trump will win the Presidential election. That may be so, but for the US small cap space, technical signals often come across as far more important when it comes to directional risks than any fundamental factor.
The latest rally was sparked by a break of downtrend...
Gold had been in a consolidation phase over the past couple of weeks, before staging a breakout attempt this week. Its earlier rally came to a halt just slightly below its all-time high of $2685 hit in September. This is the bear's first real attempt to cause a bit of a reversal in prices, but it is far too early to jump into any conclusions.
While it remains to...
The USD/CAD epic winning streak is over, delivering an obvious topping signal on Tuesday.
There’s a couple of options available to traders: the first would be to sell now with a stop either above 1.3792 or Monday’s high of 1.3806. Possible targets include 1.3700 or 1.3647, depending on the risk-reward ratio you’re looking for.
The other would be to wait for a...
