Following renewed Middle East ceasefire hopes and signs of exhausted buying momentum on the gold chart, the yellow metal has pulled back toward a key trendline—connecting higher lows since December 2024—currently near the 3,300 level.
If gold holds above 3,300 and continues to respect this broader trend support, the bullish trajectory may re-align, with potential...
After failing to close above the upper border and the 78 resistance level, and amid renewed hopes for a Middle East ceasefire, oil prices dropped sharply back toward the neckline of the inverted head and shoulders formation—initially broken ahead of the recent war escalation—at 64.70.
A sustained move below that neckline could target crude prices toward the...
Over the past several days, the USD/CNH has been coiling inside a tight range, awaiting direction from the oil market. Well oil prices collapsed, and down went the dollar and up went risk assets. The net impact on the yuan was positive. The USD/CNH pair has weakened a little bit more today. If it can take out support at 7.1700 on a daily closing basis then this...
Following the collapse in oil prices and the rally in all risk assets, the AUD/USD created a hammer candle on the daily time frame yesterday as it held key support and the 200-day average in the shaded blue area on the chart. We have seen some further upside so far today, suggesting that the AUD/USD may finally be ready to lift off from the congestion zone it has...
Whether it’s Monday’s bearish pin candle, the rejection at the 50-day moving average, or what increasingly looks like an evening star pattern forming, directional risks for USD/CAD look to be skewing lower following the false break of 1.3750.
Those looking to position for renewed weakness could initiate shorts beneath 1.3750, with a stop above the level to guard...
Monday’s bounce from support at 23,200 has seen the Hong Kong 50 push above minor resistance at 23,700, generating a potential long setup to play the broader improvement in risk appetite seen in recent hours.
Longs could be initiated above 23,700 with a stop beneath for protection, initially targeting the June 12 high of 24,429. A break above that would open the...
The bearish trend in USD has run for most of this year so far, and this has happened even as many members of the Fed refrain from talking up possible rate cuts. Last week, Jerome Powell once again reiterated that he thought tariffs would produce inflation, and he seemed to dismiss the forecasts that indicated two possible rate cuts in 2025.
Another inflationary...
All the way back in 2008, around the Financial Collapse, GBP/JPY posted a massive gap on the monthly chart and here we are, more than 16 years later, and that space on the chart continues to loom large.
The August 2008 close at 198.08 led into the September open at 193.61, and over the past couple of weeks those prices have played a big role in GBP/JPY price...
Bulls had an open door to make a run after this week's open but, so far, they've failed at the same 148.00 handle that snared buyers back in May.
The daily bar at this point is brewing up a gravestone doji but there's still a couple hours left until the close of trading for the day, and this could end up as a pin bar.
Behind the push is rate cut potential in...
Crude Oil trades between Israel-Iran-Conflict supply risks, overbought momentum, and the potential for a 3-year channel breakout.
While upside risks from a possible Strait of Hormuz closure remain uncertain, a firm hold above $78 could extend gains toward $80 and $83.50, keeping oil on a bullish edge for H2 2025.
A pullback into the channel may ease inflation...
Following the U.S.–Iran strike over the weekend, the U.S. dollar strengthened, posting solid rebounds across major dollar pairs. The USD/CAD chart, in particular, climbed back toward the 1.38 level.
The pair is now eyeing a key resistance zone between 1.3840 and 1.3880, a range that has consistently held since October 2022. A decisive break and hold above this...
EUR/USD ran into resistance at 1.1630 before easing back below 1.15. However, EUR/USD continues to trade in its rising channel, holding above its 20 and 50 SMA for now. The RSI is pointing lower, suggesting momentum is losing steam.
Immediate support is at 1.1450, the 20 SMA, and the lower band of the rising channel is being tested following weak EZ PMIs and as...
Weakness in risk assets has been relatively contained so far on Monday in Asia, despite the escalation in geopolitical tensions in the Middle East over the weekend—including in bitcoin.
Yes, it’s down, but not by any margin that sets this open apart from the usual. And having bounced after a brief dip below the psychologically important $100,000 level—which also...
Euro plunged nearly 1.6% from the highs with price rebounding this week at former resistance at the 1.618% extension of the May advance. While the risk remains for a deeper correction towards the April uptrend, we’re looking for signs of support / that a low is in.
EUR/USD is trading within the confines of a proposed descending channel with price rebounding off...
NZD/USD slipped to a fresh monthly low (0.5959) after struggling to close above 0.6070 (61.8% Fibonacci extension), and a move/close below the 0.5920 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) to 0.5930 (78.6% Fibonacci extension) region may lead to a test of the May low (0.5847).
Next area of interest comes in around 0.5740 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement) to 0.5760 (100%...
The Japan 225 (Nikkei) is consolidating just beneath a major resistance level around 38,776, forming a classic ascending triangle pattern. Price has been compressing into higher lows while repeatedly testing the horizontal ceiling, hinting at a potential bullish breakout.
Key Technical Observations:
Pattern Structure: The ascending triangle, defined by rising...
EUR/JPY has broken convincingly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at 167.42, clearing a major technical hurdle and reaffirming bullish momentum. This breakout also aligns with the pair's broader uptrend supported by the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, which are upward sloping and stacked in bullish order.
Technical Highlights:
Trend & Structure: Strong...
EUR/USD continues to trade within a strong uptrend, respecting the 50-day SMA while pressing against a key horizontal resistance level around 1.1576. The pair has recently pulled back modestly after testing this level but remains above the short-term moving average, suggesting buyers are still in control.
Technicals provide a mixed, but slightly bullish...
