Market analysis from FOREX.com
Bitcoin has seen a strong bullish surge in recent trading sessions, climbing more than 7% and now trading back above $108,000 per BTC. The buying bias has been consistently fueled by the announcement from Metaplanet, which plans to raise over $5 billion to acquire Bitcoin — a move that has temporarily restored short-term confidence in the market. As euphoria...
The USD/JPY direction has turned somewhat bullish in recent days as improving risk appetite and optimism over US-China trade talks lifted the dollar and pressurized the safe-haven yen. The pair held firm above key support at 142.50, with sentiment-driven flows favoring the greenback. This week’s focus shifts to key US data releases—CPI on Wednesday and UoM...
Aussie is trading into a critical resistance range into the start of the week at 6511/50- a region defined by the July close low and the 61.8% retracement of the 2024 decline. Note that the 75% parallel converges on this threshold this week – looking for possible inflection here with the near-term rally vulnerable while below. A topside breach exposes a...
For EUR/USD it's what didn't happen this week... Despite a seemingly open door for bulls to run a breakout, helped along by a Christine Lagarde that sounded less dovish than usual at Friday's rate cut, the pair put in a hard charge towards the 1.1500 handle but interestingly fell just about 5 pips short of the big figure. That's the same price that helped to...
USD/JPY continues to exert force on the USD and the past week was no different. Despite an open door for sellers, a higher-low showed with a hold of the same 142.50 support level that was in-play a week prior. That price traded early on Tuesday (Monday night in the states) and then on Thursday (Wed night in the U.S.) buyers came in to hold the low just above that...
Thursday’s Tesla-driven sell-off in Nasdaq 100 futures may flip into a Friday squeeze ahead of nonfarm payrolls, with Politico reporting that Elon Musk and Donald Trump have a scheduled phone call later today to broker a peace deal. Given their sparring on Thursday was a key factor behind the Nasdaq nosedive, the headlines could help reverse the move into the...
Over the last four trading sessions, the USD/MXN pair has dropped more than 1.5% in favor of the Mexican peso as the U.S. dollar continues to weaken in the short term. The index that measures the strength of the U.S. dollar (DXY) remains consistently below the 100-point level, highlighting the broad weakness of the currency. This has, in part, allowed the current...
NZD/USD breaks out of the range bound price action from earlier this week to register a fresh yearly high (0.6080). Still need a close above 0.6070 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) to open up 0.6170 (50% Fibonacci extension), with the next area of interest coming in around 0.6230 (50% Fibonacci extension) to 0.6260 (38.2% Fibonacci extension). At the same time, lack...
The price of oil is on the cusp of testing the May high ($64.19) after closing above the 50-Day SMA ($62.04) for the first time since April, with a break/close above $64.20 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement) bringing the April high ($71.16) on the radar. Need a move/close above the $70.30 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement) to $71.90 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement) zone to...
Gold has turned lower on the day, slipping after it failed to hold above the key $3400 resistance level. Despite a major breakout in silver, gold couldn't ride the wave, turning negative as risk sentiment improved on news of a "very positive" Trump-Xi call and renewed US-China trade talks. The move also came alongside firmer commodity currencies and a rebound in...
A rebound off former resistance is now testing the highs with the weekly / monthly opening-range taking shape just below. GBP/USD is attempting to breach the yearly 75% parallel in early US trade on Thursday. The immediate focus is on today’s close with respect to this threshold. Initial support rests with the weekly open / 2024 high at 1.3434. Note that the...
NZD/USD is holding an established uptrend with bullish momentum building, supported by strengthening RSI and MACD signals. The pair is testing key resistance at .6050—a level that’s capped price repeatedly over the years. A break and close above would confirm a bullish setup, allowing for longs to be established above the level with a stop just beneath. Initial...
Euro broke above the April downtrend last month with price surging more than 3.5% off the May low. The advance failed at technical resistance into the start of June at the 1.618% extension of the May advance near 1.1455. The focus is on a reaction off this mark with a breakout of the weekly opening-range to offer some guidance in the days ahead. The weekly-range...
The Australian Dollar broke back above the 200-day moving average this week with AUD/USD testing resistance at the 65-handle today. Its decision time for the Aussie as the bulls threaten to breakout of a multi-month range in price. Aussie is testing resistance today at the 2025 high-close / 61.8% extension of the Friday rally at 6495-6504 with key resistance seen...
Over the last three trading sessions, gold has gained just over 3%, and is once again approaching the $3,400 zone, where historical highs are currently holding. For now, the bullish bias behind the precious metal has remained intact, as market uncertainty continues to rise steadily due to developments related to the trade war and the ongoing conflict in...
Today's soft US data releases weighed on US yields, which helped to further narrow the US-Japan spreads on the long dated bond yields. In turn, the USD/JPY gave up its entire gains from the day before when it was boosted by the JOLTS data. Next move could be defendant on the nonfarm payrolls report on Friday. From a technical point of view, this is text book...
The ETH/USD has been coiling inside a bullish continuation pattern for several weeks now and a breakout could be on the cards soon. The consolidation suggests ETH is gearing up for a potential breakout soon, as it chips away at resistance coming from the 200-day moving average near $2700. Further resistance is seen between $2745 to $2855, as shaded in grey on...
If at first you don’t succeed, try, try again. I suspect that’s what S&P 500 bulls are contemplating when it comes to clearing the psychologically important 6000 level in futures—although this time may meet with more success than when last tested in late May. Coiling within an ascending triangle pattern, and with bullish momentum starting to flick higher again,...