You will recall that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) increased its Policy Rate to +0.00%/0.10% in March, pulling the rate out of negative territory. While many, including the Research Team at FP Markets, expected the Japanese yen (JPY) to rally on the back of this, we instead witnessed a fall in the currency, consequently drawing the USD/JPY higher. Many desks labelled...
Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently made the airwaves, delivering remarks on the economic outlook at Stanford Business School.
Key Takeaways from the Speech:
• The Fed Chief does not envisage easing policy until there is more confidence regarding the inflation picture but still believes it will be ‘appropriate’ to cut rates at ‘some point’ this year.
• Powell...
Apple and Microsoft: Which Stock Offers Greater Technical Potential?
Reading time: 7 minutes
Tech giants Apple (ticker: AAPL) and Microsoft (ticker: MSFT) both outperformed last year, adding 48.0% and 57.0%, respectively. Both are also part of the widely talked-about Magnificent Seven Stocks (includes Amazon , Nvidia , Meta Platforms , Tesla and Alphabet ...
ECB Dovish Stance
Recently, the ECB adopted more of a dovish stance.
ECB President Christine Lagarde noted that the eurozone’s economy is in a disinflationary process and added that inflation is ‘making good progress’. Lagarde added that they are confident but ‘not sufficiently confident’ and commented that additional data is needed; more will be known in...
Year-to-Date (YTD) Outperformance
The technical landscape of longer-term flow on the EUR/CHF paints an interesting picture at the moment, poised to end the week higher for an eighth successive weekly session. Interestingly, the currency pair is up +5.4% (YTD), following the record low printed in late 2023 at CHF0.9254. You will also note that price has reclaimed...
Dovish Shift
It was another disappointing week for the pound, pencilling in its worst-performing week of the year (-1.1%). March is poised to end the month considerably off best levels, fuelled by the recent shift in MPC votes with the Bank of England (BoE) now edging ever closer towards easing policy (this was a surprise in the markets as investors were pricing...
Last week, the price of WTI oil settled considerably off its best levels, consequently delivering a Japanese shooting star candlestick formation on the weekly chart (bearish). Despite bottoming in late 2023 and printing a series of higher highs and higher lows on the daily timeframe, daily technical resistance also made a show last week.
The daily timeframe...
A Correction Was Inevitable at Some Point
Against the US dollar (USD), the price of Bitcoin (BTC) has been on a tear in recent weeks, refreshing all-time highs of $73,845. The recent correction, however, has some traders questioning how low the market can drop. Based on the current uptrend, in place since bottoming at $15,581 in late 2022, three corrections...
8-1 Vote in Favour of Bank Rate Hold
Following the Fed holding its Fed funds target rate at 5.25%-5.50%, and the Swiss National Bank (SNB) surprising markets this morning and cutting its overnight Policy Rate by 25bps, the Bank of England (BoE) followed the Fed and left the Bank Rate on hold at 5.25% (a 16-year peak) for a fifth consecutive meeting. This will...
Following the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) standing pat on rates and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) raising its Policy Rate by 10bps, consequently putting a cap on NIRP, as well as ending YCC, the focus shifts to today’s FOMC rate decision at 6:00 pm GMT.
Fed Funds Rate to Remain at 5.25%-5.50%
It is widely expected that the Fed will maintain its current...
Following a raft of mixed messages from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and stronger-than-expected wage negotiations for corporate Japan, the central bank stepped up overnight and ended eight years of negative interest rate policy (NIRP) as well as putting a cap on yield curve control (YCC). The BoJ raised its Policy Rate by 10bps for the first time in nearly two decades,...
Price action on the monthly chart of the EUR/USD offers an interesting technical landscape to work with. You will acknowledge that support from $1.0519 has served as a technical floor since the beginning of 2023 and remains the case as we near the end of Q1 2024. Overhead, ascending support-turned-resistance (drawn from the low of $1.0340 – formed by way of a...
According to the US Dollar Index, dollar longs are under pressure. Despite still technically exhibiting an uptrend, there are signs of technical weakness emerging. Since topping at 104.97 in mid-February (just shy of resistance at 105.04), price action has tunnelled through support at 104.15 (now marked resistance) in addition to channel support, extended from the...
Last week, we witnessed the price of spot gold (XAU/USD) refresh all-time highs (ATHs), comfortable north of the $2,000 mark at $2,195. Markets witnessed demand for the precious metal increase based on a number of factors, which has seen buyers lift prices higher for eight consecutive days. Last week also recorded its largest one-week gain since early October...
Upside Momentum Slowing
While it was another all-time high (ATH) for the S&P 500 last week, reaching 5,189, upside momentum is beginning to slow and concluded the week tentatively. The Dow Jones Industrial Average also ended a second week in negative territory and the Nasdaq 100 and Nasdaq Composite finished off ATHs in the shape of weekly bearish harami...
Ahead of this week’s wages/employment data, the technical position for the GBP/USD leans in favour of bulls.
Monthly Resistance Cedes Ground
Following two months of downside, GBP/USD bulls pencilled in a solid offensive last week (+1.6%), drawing the currency pair through resistance on the monthly timeframe at $1.2715. While one may argue that this market is...
According to the US Dollar Index, the US dollar (USD) had a rather disappointing week, falling -1.1% against a basket of six major currencies. On the month, the buck is also -1.4% lower and, assuming a continued negative trajectory this month, is on track to snap a two-month bullish phase.
The FP Markets Research Team noted in numerous posts that the longer-term...
It was another impressive week for the major cryptocurrency pairing BTC/USD, adding nearly +10.0% and carving out a second straight weekly gain to reach a fresh record high of $70,198.
Traders Eye Dip-Buying Opportunities
It is clear across all primary timeframes that the trend in this market is bullish, prompting traders and investors to seek dip-buying...
