Weekly gain/loss: +0.66% Weekly closing price: 0.7610 Although the commodity currency recouped some of its recent losses last week, weekly structure, in our view, remains unchanged from the previous weekly outlook. To the downside there is a particularly interesting weekly support we have our eye on. Merging with a weekly channel support extended from the low...
Weekly gain/loss: +1.16% Weekly closing price: 1.1929 The shared currency enjoyed another successful week, increasing its worth by an additional 140 pips into the close. The weekly supply area at 1.1880-1.1777 (now acting support zone) was demolished as a result of the recent upside move. Scope to push higher and elbow into weekly resistance at 1.2044 could,...
For those who read Thursday’s report you may recall that we highlighted a H4 resistance seen at 0.7632, which happened to converge with a H4 AB=CD 161.8% ext. point at 0.7633, along with a H4 trendline resistance taken from the high 0.8103. We also mentioned that although this level boasted strong confluence, it was a somewhat risky sell according to daily...
The single currency, as you can see, rallied for a third consecutive day on Thursday, reaching a high of 1.1855. Better-than-expected Eurozone manufacturing data provided support for the pair in early London hours, lifting H4 price up to the1.1846 neighborhood. Shortly after, however, price drifted off into a tight consolidation ahead of a H4 resistance at 1.1861,...
The bearish pulse continued to beat in the USD/CAD market on Wednesday. After breaking out of the H4 ascending channel formation, the pair retested the underside of the lower edge as resistance and extended lower, influenced further following the release of the minutes from the latest FOMC meeting. Following on from Wednesday’s report where we highlighted a...
Following the release of the FOMC minutes on Wednesday, the commodity currency drove through offers at the 0.76 handle and tapped a session high of 0.7623. Traders may have also noticed that the recent move north completed a H4 AB=CD bearish formation at 0.7620 (see black arrows). While the H4 candles are currently displaying bearish intent, we have to be prepared...
For those who follow our reports on a regular basis you may recall the team highlighting November’s opening level seen on the H4 timeframe at 1.3290 as a high-probability base to sell from. Placed nearby the 1.33 band (which essentially represents the weekly resistance level at 1.3301) and also the daily Quasimodo resistance at 1.3279, the monthly level was likely...
The euro made considerable ground against its US counterpart on Wednesday, running through both October’s opening level seen on the H4 timeframe at 1.1788 and, after the release of the FOMC minutes, the 1.18 handle. According to the minutes, the majority of the FOMC members saw that a near-term hike was warranted, but few opposed. As you can see on the daily...
Following a positive start to the day, US equities continued to propel higher on Tuesday. Led by Health care and information technology gains, the DJIA was able to crunch through a H4 resistance area at 23481-23455 (now acting support area) and also a H4 supply base at 23579-23556 (also now an acting support area). With H4 price currently seen retesting...
Failing to sustain gains beyond October’s opening level seen on the H4 timeframe at 112.64, the USD/JPY spent Tuesday pressing lower, consequently concluding trade at a low of 112.17. In the event that the bears continue to push lower today/this week, the next area of concern on the H4 timeframe can be seen at last Friday’s low 111.88, followed closely by H4...
After digesting RBA Gov. Lowe’s comments, the commodity currency staged a modest recovery from lows of 0.7534. The advance hit a stumbling block, however, as price entered into the US segment, spending the remainder of the day consolidating 20 or so pips ahead of the 0.76 handle. Also worthy of mention is that the daily trendline resistance extended from the low...
Weekly gain/loss: -1.28% Weekly closing price: 0.7563 The commodity currency boarded the pain train last week, dropping almost 100 pips. What this recent downside move did accomplish, however, was bring weekly price down to within shouting distance of a particularly interesting level. Merging with a weekly channel support extended from the low 0.6827, we have a...
Weekly gain/loss: +0.17% Weekly closing price: 1.3214 Since early October, the GBP/USD has been consolidating beneath a weekly resistance level coming in at 1.3301. Should a breakout to the upside occur, it seems price would be all set to extend up to a weekly channel resistance taken from the high 1.2673. On the other side of the coin, a move to the downside...
Weekly gain/loss: +1.08% Weekly closing price: 1.1787 Over the course of last week’s trading, the single currency extended its bounce from weekly support at 1.1616. This, as you can see, lifted weekly price up to a supply base coming in at 1.1880-1.1777, which has so far held ground. A violation of this area, however, would likely bring the weekly resistance...
US equities snapped its two-day losing streak on Thursday, as the index surged. After chalking up several nice-looking H4 buying tails around the H4 support area at 23261-23297, price strongly broke through offers surrounding November’s opening level at 23392. The unit mildly pared losses going into the closing bell as price struggled to breach the collection of...
As can be seen from the H4 timeframe this morning, the candles are currently encapsulated within an ascending H4 channel (1.2666/1.2741). Should price continue to climb within this formation, the 1.28 handle is likely the next resistance on the hit list. Over on the weekly timeframe, the 1.2778 band represents a sturdy weekly resistance level. As a matter of...
After retesting the underside of 0.99 during the early hours of yesterday’s session, the USD/CHF fell to a low of 0.9846. Leaving the H4 support at 0.9837 unchallenged, the pair reclaimed earlier losses and revisited 0.99. Right now, we believe this is a sellers’ market. Here’s why: • Weekly price shows room to drive as far south as weekly support coming in at...
The yellow metal aggressively sold off from H4 resistance at 1288.7 going into the early hours of yesterday’s US segment. As you can see, this forced H4 price back into the H4 range shaded in yellow at 1282.5/1265.4, and also below October’s opening level at 1279.1. The H4 resistance mentioned above at 1288.7 is proving a troublesome area to breach, considering...