The Japanese yen gained as much as 0.8% earlier today but has failed to consolidate these gains. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 156.03, dwon 0.02% on the day. The Bank of Japan hiked its policy rate by 25 basis points earlier today, as expected. This brings the policy rate to 0.5%, its highest level since October 2008, during the global financial...
US500 - 24h expiry Price action continues to trade around the all-time highs. Previous resistance located at 6102. A 5 wave bullish count has been completed at 6107. There is scope for mild buying at the open but gains should be limited. Further downside is expected and we prefer to set shorts in early trade. We look to Sell at 6102 (stop at 6147) Our...
The Japanese yen is slightly lower on Thursday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 156.25, down 0.16% on the day. All eyes are on the Bank of Japan, which meets early on Friday. The BoJ is expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points which would bring the cash rate to 0.50%. The BoJ has said that it will raise rates if it sees higher wage...
CHN50 - 24h expiry Price action has continued to trend strongly lower and has stalled at the previous support near 12800. We expect a reversal in this move. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 12900 will confirm the bullish momentum. The measured move target is 13100. We look to Buy at 12800 (stop at 12700) Our...
The Japanese yen is in negative territory on Wednesday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 156.53, up 0.68% on the day. There are no key releases in the US today. On Thursday, the US releases unemployment claims and President Trump will address the World Economic Forum. Trump has vowed to levy tariffs on US trading partners, including China and...
NZDJPY - 24h expiry The primary trend remains bearish. The sequence for trading is lower lows and highs. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels. Bespoke resistance is located at 88.15. We look to Sell at 88.27 (stop at 88.67) Our profit targets will be 87.27 and 86.90 Resistance: 88.00 /...
The British pound continues to show sharp swings this week. After a spectacular 1.3% gain on Monday, GBP/USD has reversed directions and is trading at 1.2233 in the European session, down 0.68% on the day. The UK payrolls report, a reliable indicator of employment growth, showed a sharp decline of 47 thousand m/m in December 2024. This was the largest decline...
CHN50 - 24h expiry A bullish reverse Head and Shoulders is forming. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 13150 will confirm the bullish momentum. The measured move target is 13500. Short term RSI has turned positive. Our profit targets will be 13500 and 13525 We look to Buy at 13000 (stop at 12750) Resistance: 13250...
The yen is almost unchanged on Monday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 156.37, up 0.06% on the day. We can expect a quiet day, as the US observes Martin Luther King Day and Donald Trump will be sworn in as President. The yen is coming off a busy week, with sharp swings on each of the past three trading days. The Japanese currency gained 0.95% last...
EURGBP - 24h expiry Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end. 20 4hour EMA is at 0.8429. We look to buy dips. Dip buying offers good risk/reward. A break of the recent high at 0.8463 should result in a further move higher. We look to Buy at 0.8431 (stop at 0.8409) Our...
Gold - Intraday Selling posted close to the previous high of 2726.0. 2721.3 has been pivotal. Offers ample risk/reward to sell at the market. Bearish divergence is expected to cap gains. Early optimism is likely to lead to gains although extended attempts higher are expected to fail. We look to Sell at 2718.5 (stop at 2738.5) Our profit targets will be...
The British pound is lower on Friday. In the European session, GBP/USD is currently trading at 1.2201, down 0.27% on the day. The pound can't find its footing and is down 2.5% in January and a massive 8.8% since October 1. UK retail sales ended the week on a disappointing note. December retail sales declined 0.3% m/m, down from a downwardly revised 0.1% gain in...
The British pound has edged lower on Thursday. In the European session, GBP/USD is currently trading at 1.2205, down 0.22%. The UK economy climbed out of negative growth for the first time in three months but not by much. After GDP contracted by 0.1% in September and October, November saw a small gain of 0.1%, missing the market estimate of 0.2%. In the three...
NIK225 - 24h expiry Price action looks to be forming a bottom. A higher correction is expected. With the Ichimoku cloud resistance above we expect gains to be limited. We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower. Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 39280...
The Australian dollar is higher for a third consecutive trading day. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6233, up 0.63% at the time of writing. The US inflation report for December was a mixed bag, as headline CPI rose while the core rate declined. Headline CPI rose to 2.9% y/y from 2.7% in November, matching the market estimate. Monthly,...
The yen remains calm and is lower on Tuesday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 157.98, up 0.34% on the day. There are no tier-1 events out of Japan this week and the yen is having a relatively quiet week. That could change with the release of US inflation on Wednesday. Headline CPI is expected to rise to 2.9% y/y in December from 2.7% in...
The Australian dollar is showing little movement on Tuesday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6174, down 0.06% at the time of writing. The Australian consumer remains pessimistic about the economic outlook. The Westpac consumer sentiment index fell 0.7% in January from -2% in December 2024. This brought the index down to 92.1 in January, down from...
NZDUSD - 24h expiry There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end. Further downside is expected. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels. A move through 0.5540 will confirm the bearish momentum. The measured move target is 0.5475. We look to Sell at 0.5585 (stop at 0.5625) Our profit targets will be 0.5485 and...