We move on from a week where strong momentum markets (AI names, NAS100, JPN225, Mexican peso) were sold down hard, with traders better buyers of the VIX, US30, gold, CHF, USD, and defensive equities (utilities).
Notably, the NAS100 recorded its worst week since November 2022, driven in part by market players part-liquidating an incredibly extended position in...
The dollar remains on the front foot, with the buck benefitting from haven flows amid rising geopolitical risk, as well as the continued outperformance of the US economy; both being factors which point to further upside remaining on the cards.
The greenback has continued to gain ground of late, with the USD rallying to fresh YTD highs against a basket of peers -...
Release time – Thursday on the market close (6 am AEST / 9 pm UK time)
Netflix is one of the preeminent trading stocks - where we often see big movement, a high propensity to trend and sizeable intraday high-low daily ranges that can appeal to the day traders.
With Q124 earnings due on Thursday and the possibility of another sizeable price catalyst, Netflix is...
The markets have come alive with the sound of derisking, deleveraging, hedging and broad managing of risk exposures. Friday was about managing risk going into the weekend, but today was different and the move could have legs - where for many playing defence has been the order of the day, while we have also seen traders getting aggressive, with shorting activity in...
US CPI, once again, surprised to the upside of expectations in March, sparking a hawkish cross-asset reaction as the balance of risks tilts towards later, and fewer, Fed cuts than markets had expected, as price pressures remain stubbornly high.
Headline CPI rose by 3.5% YoY in March, a significant uptick from the 3.2% YoY pace seen a month prior, and above...
Join Chris Weston as he goes over the trading week ahead and covers what all traders need to be aware of this week:
- Review – the platform
- The landmines ahead
- Charting the markets
The clock ticks down to the Bitcoin halving, which is expected between 19-21 April , with anticipation building that the event could be the next known catalyst to propel the Bitcoin price to new highs.
The question for Bitcoin CFD traders is two-fold:
1. Will the ensuing price action (post-halving) be different from the three prior halving cycles?
2. Will...
What promised to be a monster week of event risk for financial markets certainly lived up to its billing with headlines galore throughout the last five trading days, as equities and the greenback both kicked higher. Nevertheless, despite the noisy nature of the week, the fundamental narrative has changed little, with the path of least resistance for risk assets...
We have a jam packed show this week! Settle in for all your market updates and expert commentary from the Trade Off veterans, Westy and Blake. They're talking FOMC, BoJ/BoE (and how to play the JPY/Nikkei), Gold, Crude, S&P and much more.
After eight years of negative rates, and seventeen years since the last rate hike, the Bank of Japan has finally delivered what was an eagerly-anticipated exit from over a decade of ultra-easy monetary policy; though, frankly, the first steps towards policy normalisation – despite being incredibly significant – came with little fanfare, or subsequent market...
Put USDCHF on the radar - while there are many different ways this could play out this week, here are 2 clear scenario's that are front of mind.
Upside - the fed's 2024 dot moves higher in tomorrows FOMC meeting to show 2 cuts (from 3). We could also see the SNB cut rates - this is a non-consensus call with 4/24 economists calling for a 25bp cut (to 1.5%) and...
Join Chris Weston as he goes over the trading week ahead and covers what all traders need to be aware of this week:
- Review – the platform
- The landmines ahead
- Charting the markets
The markets will come alive this week reacting to the outcomes of an incredible array of tier 1 event risk, with some 14 central bank meetings, including six G10 central bank meetings, as well as numerous emerging market central banks too.
At a more micro level, Nvidia takes centre stage with the highly anticipated GPT conference a potential volatility driver...
Join Chris Weston as he goes over the trading week ahead and covers what all traders need to be aware of this week:
- Review – the platform
- The landmines ahead
- Charting the markets
- 3 most influential markets
After a disappointing labour market report last week, where a blowout nonfarm payrolls print was overshadowed by rather dismal details in the household survey, focus now turns to the February US CPI report, being the last significant piece of the data jigsaw before the March FOMC meeting.
Off the back of hotter than expected inflation figures in January, with...
In the equity space, one of the most notable features of this cycle has been the degree of consternation over narrow market breadth. In other words, the gains that we have seen, especially those that were made in 2023, came due to a substantial rally in a small number of index constituents – a group that we now all know as the ‘magnificent seven’.
There are,...
As gold goes about its business, client volumes on the yellow metal are well above average, and as is typically the way after a solid one-way tear, the net position is now heavily skewed short.
We can see that the price has closed higher for 7 straight days, and subsequently, traders see a heightened probability that we will not see an 8th and that momentum has...
Westy and Blake are back! Markets are frothy, gold and crypto are on the move and we break down the whats and whys, as always, in The Trade Off. Also: ECB, NFP, Silver, SPX, AUDCHF, DAX, Apple/QQQ & CHFJPY. Strap in, this is TTO!
