European stock markets followed their Asian counterparts on Monday as the US economy returns in sight, in particular the fate of the tax reform.
Gold is rising against the backdrop of increased risks before the resumption of discussion of the tax reform in the Senate. The asset has risen in price by 0.5% to $ 1.293 and looks determined to reach another round...
All the major gloom on US currency has been priced by market participants this week, pulling back the index to 93.00 before the announcement of tax-cut package details. Thinner volume across the Pond, as well as elevated market concerns revealed the market majority preferred to cut wagers on US currency before fiscal stimulus news come out next week. And this was...
Notices of doubt
EURUSD is stumbling on the spot today, swaying around the range of 1.17-1.18, the market did not allow to spread pessimism associated with the political problems in Germany, as well as optimism associated with the tax reform. The US is preparing to celebrate Thanksgiving, in this regard, the senators have postponed the discussion of large-scale...
Political instability in Germany is assuming increasingly threatening forms, as the current Chancellor Angela Merkel was forced to agree on early elections, rather than form a government in the minority.
Distrust of Merkel began to grow rapidly after the decision to open borders for more than 1 million migrants. In the September elections, a high percentage of...
Losing the grip
Bearish sentiments are rising on European currency due to political uncertainty in the eurozone, as Angela Merkel's position has deteriorated significantly after the failure to form a coalition between the four political parties. EURJPY sank to a two-month low during the Asian session, but restored losses during the London trading, as the economic...
Oil market
Oil traders have not yet decided on further price direction, but rather are looking for an excuse for pullback than for backing last week rally. According to Baker Hughes, the number of drilling rigs in the US increased last week while production reached a record 9.62M bpd. The most alarming part in fundamental picture of the US output was the pace of...
The US Senate released its soft version of tax-cut plan on Thursday featured with two stages of implementation. In particular, firms may need to wait for tax breaks till 2019 what leaves a little from anticipated stimulus boost, though less risky for government budget.
The budget committee has already approved a reform option and next week the House of...
The ECB is ready to postpone the introduction of more stringent rules on bad debts after European Parliament and Italy took swipe on the project, one of ECB governors said on Thursday. The regulator is seemingly prevented to take security measures against the background of a gradual stimulus downgrade as the regions are still heavily dependent on cheap cash and...
The IMF urged Japan central bank to adhere to the current program of quantitative easing in the fight against stagnating consumer prices, the position voiced by the Central Bank official at the last meeting on monetary policy.
Comments of the IMF Chairman Kristin Lagarde lay in opposition to the extensive criticism of the Bank of Japan, which does not want to...
Oil market
The oil market continues to master successively new peaks, rising on Monday to the highest level since July 2015 . Oversupply is steadily declining while Saudi Arabia's readiness for changes looks even more reliable against the backdrop of anti-corruption detentions in the higher echelons of power in the kingdom.
Prince Mohammed Bin Salman made a...
Some insight on NFP and Fed meeting
The Federal Reserve's meeting on Wednesday did not stirred much attention among investors, NFP is likely to face the same fate. After the natural disasters, it became clear that the US economic picture is distorted and blurred in the medium term, and the "data-dependence" rule in the Fed's policy will be temporarily...
US Dollar
The dollar took aggressive stance on Wednesday as investors await bullish comments from the Fed and White House while troubled New Zealand Dollar was rescued by a strong labor market report.
The basket of major currencies fell against the greenback, however last week's high at 95.00 seems to have to be conquered again.
The Fed's November meeting is of...
Asian markets gained on Tuesday dismissing weak factory data in the Chinese economy while the dollar has decided to hold up with growth, as the investigation into Russia’s meddling wth the US presidential election led to former campaign manager Manafort charged with money laundering and tax evasion, promising more intriguing data on possible POTUS collusion with...
Oil futures turned out to be less volatile this week than forecasted, the level of $60 per barrel is at stake on the Brent benchmark and the Saudi prince is absolutely not shy to openly support the extension of oil pact after March 2018.
WTI posts small losses on Friday as its buoyancy lags behind Brent’s as the increase in US output limits advance. The spread...
ECB
European stock markets and the euro stood still in anticipation of the results of ECB meeting, while in the fixed income market there is a slight rush and the price of bonds is moderately growing. The yield of US Treasuries also fell after a rise to a seven-month peak on speculation about a new Fed head, likely to be a candidate with a more aggressive policy...
Oil market
WTI declined on Wednesday but Brent continues to grow, fluctuating about a month's high, as Saudi Arabia said it is determined to end the supply surplus that has been holding prices for the third consecutive year. Energy Minister al-Falih said that the kingdom will do everything necessary to reduce oil reserves in industrial countries to an average of...
Despite the solid amount of bets on the hawkish outcome of ECB October meeting, where a decision should be made to cut money supply, Draghi does it all to play down the event.
At the conference in Frankfurt, the president of ECB once again recalled positive aspects of cheap liquidity, saying that low rates create a window of opportunity for European governments...
Trump tax reform
Predicting the failure of the Trump tax reform because of its scale and unclear double-side backwash, skeptics apparently understated the president's negotiation skills.
Despite initial skepticism, the number of supporters of the tax cuts is growing rapidly among Republicans. On Monday, it was clear that the level of approval allows for rolling...
