After a sharp decline on Tuesday, Gold is now balancing slightly above our 38,2% retracement on the Fibonacci. Given that we have the Fed rate announcement on Wednesday evening, we will take a cautious approach and wait for the decision first, before getting comfortable with either of the short-term directional moves.
From the technical perspective, a break below...
Looking at the recent technical picture of the US Dollar index, we can see that from around the beginning of March, the index is trading within a falling wedge pattern. According to the Technical Analysis (TA) rules, such patterns tend to be bullish indications. However, in order to get comfortable with that idea, a break of the upper side of that formation would...
The technical picture of USDCAD on our 4-hour chart shows that the pair is currently trading inside a descending triangle pattern. According to Technical Analysis rules, such patterns tend to break to the downside. For that, a confirmation break roughly below the 1.3650 zone would be needed. This way, a forthcoming lower low would be confirmed and more sellers may...
Looking at the technical picture of the Australian index ASX 200, we can see that from around the beginning of February, the index has been trading inside a falling wedge pattern, which could be classed as a bullish indication, especially if the upper side of that pattern gets violated. Today we saw that violation and the index made a strong move to the upside. In...
EURGBP found resistance near a short-term downside line. In order to consider a further move north, a push above that line would be required.
Please watch the video for the analysis.
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EURUSD got a good boost yesterday, traveling back to its 50-day EMA, where it found resistance. If we clear that area, more buyers might join in.
For today, watch out for the ECB's Account of Monetary Policy Meeting, together with the EU preliminary CPI numbers.
Please watch the short video for the remaining analysis.
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After a recent decline, the DJIA index found support near the 32700 area, which is near the lowest point of December. If, eventually, that support area surrenders, this could clear the path towards the 31740 zone.
Alternatively, a break above a short-term tentative downside resistance line, drawn from the high of February 14th, could help attract the bulls back...
Brent oil continues to trade between two trendlines, a short-term upside one taken from the low of December 9th and a downside line drawn from the high of July 28th. As long as the commodity remains between those two lines, we will stay neutral.
If the downside line gets violated, we will start examining higher areas as potential targets, however, more buyers...
The technical picture of DAX on our daily chart shows that the index is currently stuck between two trendlines - a short-term downside resistance one taken from the high of February 9th and medium-term upside support line drawn from the low of October 3rd. Given that DAX has been on a roller coaster ride for the whole month of February, we need to see a clear...
From around the beginning of December 2022 GBPUSD is trading inside a range, roughly between the 1.1840 and 1.2440 levels. As long as the pair stays inside that pattern, the medium-term outlook remains neutral. We need to see a clear breakout through one of the sides of the range in order to consider the next medium-term directional move.
From a short-term...
Waiting for EURCHF to make a breakout, before considering the next short-term directional move.
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AUDUSD seems to be forming a possible falling wedge pattern, which, according to all the TA rules, tends to break to the upside. However, a confirmation break through the upper side of it is still needed, in order to get comfortable with a move towards higher areas. Until then, if the pair stays inside the pattern, it may continue...
WTI Oil continues to move sideways. We need a clear breakout through one of our levels in order to consider the next short-term directional move.
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Taking a conservative approach and waiting for a clear breakout either through the 1845 barrier, or the 1825 hurdle to consider the next short-term directional move.
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The S&P 500 is near a medium-term upside support line, drawn from the low of October 13th, 2022. Also, we can see that the psychological 4000 zone is something to be carefully monitored. If that whole territory gets violated, further declines are possible.
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Waiting for GBPCAD to go for a breakout. Canadian CPIs and Retail Sales are the ones to watch for today, as the data may bring much needed volatility for the pair to make a stronger move.
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