Has Alcoa Bottomed?

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Alcoa has been falling since Thanksgiving, but some traders may think the aluminum stock has bottomed.

The first pattern on today’s chart is the April 9 high of $26.67. AA was trapped under that level for a month but yesterday it closed above it for the first time. Is the old resistance broken?

Second is the series of higher lows during the period of bottoming. Those may suggest buyers outnumber sellers.

Third, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is climbing toward the 21-day EMA. A crossover could indicate the short-term trend is getting bullish. MACD is also rising.

Finally, AA is about 20 percent below its 200-day simple moving average. That may provide space for a rebound -- especially with lower tariffs easing worries about the economy.

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