Apple IncShort
Bearish Sentiment on $AAPL
Updated
Recent News - Apple reloads its stock with "new products" which aren't so new but with a higher price tag (Bearish). Epic Games v Apple (Bearish). Losing the fourth Apple car exec this year (Bearish). Quad Witching Sept 2021 (Leaning Bullish).
Trend - We're just coming off a bullish trend that helped us reach an ATH of $157.26. We broke that trend with a strong pullback from ATH with the Judge's ruling over Apple's in-app purchases. We're also still in this wedge pattern, which I believe we'll break from it within this month (hopefully next week).
Candles/Volume - We saw three wide body candles with strong, above average volume to validate them. We currently have two hammers with average volume which indicates that the buyers are holding at the ~$148 support level (could possibly be a reversal - volume makes me think not). I can see the buyers becoming exhausted and the price dropping down to the next support level of ~$145. If by chance the buyers don't step in at that price or they become overwhelmed, we can easily see the stock drop -8.78% from ~$148 to ~$135.
MA - The 200 MA has also be a previous strong support. Which it would currently fall at ~$135 if the market decided to pull back.
RSI - Starting up from July 7 to present. There is a bearish divergence on the RSI.
MACD - I believe it's just starting to pickup momentum with the signal line already having crossed over the MACD line. We also see a bearish divergence with the MACD, just like we saw with the RSI.
Constructive criticism would be appreciated.
Trend - We're just coming off a bullish trend that helped us reach an ATH of $157.26. We broke that trend with a strong pullback from ATH with the Judge's ruling over Apple's in-app purchases. We're also still in this wedge pattern, which I believe we'll break from it within this month (hopefully next week).
Candles/Volume - We saw three wide body candles with strong, above average volume to validate them. We currently have two hammers with average volume which indicates that the buyers are holding at the ~$148 support level (could possibly be a reversal - volume makes me think not). I can see the buyers becoming exhausted and the price dropping down to the next support level of ~$145. If by chance the buyers don't step in at that price or they become overwhelmed, we can easily see the stock drop -8.78% from ~$148 to ~$135.
MA - The 200 MA has also be a previous strong support. Which it would currently fall at ~$135 if the market decided to pull back.
RSI - Starting up from July 7 to present. There is a bearish divergence on the RSI.
MACD - I believe it's just starting to pickup momentum with the signal line already having crossed over the MACD line. We also see a bearish divergence with the MACD, just like we saw with the RSI.
Constructive criticism would be appreciated.
Trade active
Current Trade Update: I've closed out more than half of my PUTS expiring this next week. I plan on closing out the rest on Monday morning during the opening hours. I believe we'll see more selling pressure in the early morning with the buyers entering after. Candles/Volume: Today we saw a wide-body candle pushing towards our ~$145 support level with volume there to support the move. The current 'volume at price' between $145 and $150 makes me think buyers may cause APPL to consolidate before pushing down to the ~$135 support.
Next Trading Move: I'll attempt to enter more PUTS during a buying rally with a longer expiration date to give me the time to account for theta. But with the broader indices showing weakness, I think we may see it drop sooner than later. I'll be keeping an eye out for bearish candles with volume to support the move down.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.