📊 GEX Daily Chart (Options Sentiment Breakdown)
Apple (
AAPL) closed at $200.85, right on top of the HVL (Highest Volume Level) and slightly under the first GEX resistance zone at 202.5–204. The daily chart shows price rebounded off a strong confluence support zone, but gamma exposure suggests more chop ahead unless bulls push decisively.
GEX Structure Insights:
* 🟩 Positive GEX up to 207.5–215, with 202.5–204 acting as gamma resistance.
* 🟥 Strong put interest builds under 195 → 192.5 → 190 (–13% to –23% GEX), marking critical downside zones.
* 🧊 IVR at 27.8, IV is still low enough to build long premium trades without getting crushed by theta.
💡 Options Trade Ideas (Based on GEX):
* Bullish Breakout: If we reclaim and hold above 204, consider Jul 19 210c or 205c/215c debit spread.
* Bearish Rejection: If AAPL loses 197.5 support, look at Jul 19 195p or 200p/190p vertical spread to catch any gamma flush toward 192.
Dealer hedging likely keeps AAPL pinned between 197.5–204 unless market momentum shifts.
🕵️♂️ 1H Chart Breakdown (Swing & Intraday Outlook)
Zooming into the 1-hour, AAPL gave us a bullish defense at 197.5, with multiple CHoCH signals printing off the demand block. However, we’re still stuck under a short-term trendline and near a red SMC supply box around 204–207.9.
Highlights:
* ✅ CHoCH formed at demand, suggesting short-term bullish attempt.
* ⚠️ Overbought signals showing up again — MACD and BBP topping.
* 📐 Rising channel still intact unless price breaks below 198.5–197.5 again.
📈 Swing Plan:
* Long setup: Hold above 200.25 + reclaim 202.5 = possible push to 207.
* Short setup: Fail at 202.5–204 and break below 198.5 = bearish continuation to 195/192.
📊 Intraday Setup:
* AM bounce off 199.5–200 = scalp long toward 202.5.
* Rejection at 202.5 with weakness = scalp short down to 198.5 and scale out near 197.5.
Volume profile and structure say we’re in a retest phase, not confirmed breakout yet. Let price lead.
🧠 Final Thoughts
AAPL is sitting in a classic indecision zone between put support and call walls. There’s potential for a squeeze higher — but only if bulls clear 204 and hold above. Gamma compression suggests limited range unless macro volatility or sector strength gives it juice. Perfect setup for risk-defined options spreads this week.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is for educational use only. Always do your own research and risk assessment before trading or investing.
Apple (
AAPL) closed at $200.85, right on top of the HVL (Highest Volume Level) and slightly under the first GEX resistance zone at 202.5–204. The daily chart shows price rebounded off a strong confluence support zone, but gamma exposure suggests more chop ahead unless bulls push decisively.GEX Structure Insights:
* 🟩 Positive GEX up to 207.5–215, with 202.5–204 acting as gamma resistance.
* 🟥 Strong put interest builds under 195 → 192.5 → 190 (–13% to –23% GEX), marking critical downside zones.
* 🧊 IVR at 27.8, IV is still low enough to build long premium trades without getting crushed by theta.
💡 Options Trade Ideas (Based on GEX):
* Bullish Breakout: If we reclaim and hold above 204, consider Jul 19 210c or 205c/215c debit spread.
* Bearish Rejection: If AAPL loses 197.5 support, look at Jul 19 195p or 200p/190p vertical spread to catch any gamma flush toward 192.
Dealer hedging likely keeps AAPL pinned between 197.5–204 unless market momentum shifts.
🕵️♂️ 1H Chart Breakdown (Swing & Intraday Outlook)
Zooming into the 1-hour, AAPL gave us a bullish defense at 197.5, with multiple CHoCH signals printing off the demand block. However, we’re still stuck under a short-term trendline and near a red SMC supply box around 204–207.9.
Highlights:
* ✅ CHoCH formed at demand, suggesting short-term bullish attempt.
* ⚠️ Overbought signals showing up again — MACD and BBP topping.
* 📐 Rising channel still intact unless price breaks below 198.5–197.5 again.
📈 Swing Plan:
* Long setup: Hold above 200.25 + reclaim 202.5 = possible push to 207.
* Short setup: Fail at 202.5–204 and break below 198.5 = bearish continuation to 195/192.
📊 Intraday Setup:
* AM bounce off 199.5–200 = scalp long toward 202.5.
* Rejection at 202.5 with weakness = scalp short down to 198.5 and scale out near 197.5.
Volume profile and structure say we’re in a retest phase, not confirmed breakout yet. Let price lead.
🧠 Final Thoughts
AAPL is sitting in a classic indecision zone between put support and call walls. There’s potential for a squeeze higher — but only if bulls clear 204 and hold above. Gamma compression suggests limited range unless macro volatility or sector strength gives it juice. Perfect setup for risk-defined options spreads this week.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is for educational use only. Always do your own research and risk assessment before trading or investing.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.