Why? Because my crystal TA balls say so.
Seriously though, here is my reasoning, given the indicator momentum
Price Action & Trend Analysis
• The stock is currently at $222.42, down -1.86%.
• The price recently broke down from a local high near $244 and is in a downtrend.
• Break of Structure (BoS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) labels indicate trend shifts.
• A weak resistance zone around $244 suggests prior buying exhaustion.
• A demand/support zone appears near $218, with previous price reactions in this range.
Momentum Indicators (Lower Panel)
• The stochastic-based oscillator in the lower panel shows oversold conditions (~below 20 level).
• Previous rebounds occurred at similar oversold levels, suggesting a potential bounce.
• Multiple purple downward arrows (sell pressure) have recently printed, aligning with declining momentum.
Short-Term Outlook (Next Few Days)
• Bullish Case: If support at $218-$220 holds, a relief bounce could push prices towards $226-$230 (~50% retracement of the drop).
• Bearish Case: A break below $218 could accelerate downside momentum towards $210-$212.
Now - let’s talk Probabilities:
• Bounce towards $226-$230: ~60% if support holds. This is the more prevailing wind in my view.
• Further drop to $210-$212: ~40% if selling is strong.
Summary & Trading Plan
• Short-term traders: Watch $218-$220 support for a bounce trade to $226-$230.
• Swing traders: A breakout above $230 strengthens a bullish case towards $240+.
• Risk Management: A clear break below $218 suggests a potential breakdown towards $210-$212.
Seriously though, here is my reasoning, given the indicator momentum
Price Action & Trend Analysis
• The stock is currently at $222.42, down -1.86%.
• The price recently broke down from a local high near $244 and is in a downtrend.
• Break of Structure (BoS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) labels indicate trend shifts.
• A weak resistance zone around $244 suggests prior buying exhaustion.
• A demand/support zone appears near $218, with previous price reactions in this range.
Momentum Indicators (Lower Panel)
• The stochastic-based oscillator in the lower panel shows oversold conditions (~below 20 level).
• Previous rebounds occurred at similar oversold levels, suggesting a potential bounce.
• Multiple purple downward arrows (sell pressure) have recently printed, aligning with declining momentum.
Short-Term Outlook (Next Few Days)
• Bullish Case: If support at $218-$220 holds, a relief bounce could push prices towards $226-$230 (~50% retracement of the drop).
• Bearish Case: A break below $218 could accelerate downside momentum towards $210-$212.
Now - let’s talk Probabilities:
• Bounce towards $226-$230: ~60% if support holds. This is the more prevailing wind in my view.
• Further drop to $210-$212: ~40% if selling is strong.
Summary & Trading Plan
• Short-term traders: Watch $218-$220 support for a bounce trade to $226-$230.
• Swing traders: A breakout above $230 strengthens a bullish case towards $240+.
• Risk Management: A clear break below $218 suggests a potential breakdown towards $210-$212.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.