ASX 200 Futures Stare Down Resistance Ahead of Pivotal Thursday

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Thursday looms as an important session for Australian ASX 200 SPI futures, with the price approaching a tough layer of technical resistance overhead.

Horizontal resistance at 8135, the 200-day moving average at 8142, and the October 2023 uptrend around 8180 all stand between a potential run back towards the record highs set earlier this year or a possible reversal towards 8000. The price has already broken below the uptrend established from the April lows, although the late fightback in overnight trade suggests bulls won’t give up just yet.

Momentum indicators continue to trend higher in positive territory, favouring a bullish bias that prefers buying dips over selling rips.

If price fails to break and close above the 200DMA, it creates an opportunity to establish shorts targeting a pullback to 8000, a psychologically important level. The 50-day moving average is also nearby at 7956. A stop above the 200DMA would protect against a continuation of the prevailing trend.

Alternatively, a break and close above the 200DMA would flip the setup, allowing for longs to be established with a stop below for protection. 8280—having acted as both support and resistance earlier this year—would be a logical upside target. Beyond that, a retest of the former record highs would be on the cards.

Good luck!
DS

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