AUD/CHF 4H Short Setup โ€“ Supply Zone Rejection & Trend Continuat

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๐Ÿ“‰ AUD/CHF 4H Chart Analysis (June 18, 2025)

๐Ÿ”ต Overall Trend

๐Ÿ”ป Bearish Bias

๐Ÿ”บ Lower highs + lower lows

๐Ÿ“‰ Price is under a downtrend line and EMA (70), signaling weakness

๐ŸŸฆ Supply Zone (Sell Area)

๐Ÿ“ Zone: 0.53235 โ€“ 0.53700
๐Ÿ“Œ What it means:

๐Ÿงฑ Sellers previously pushed price down from here

๐Ÿงฒ Price has returned, likely attracting new selling pressure

๐ŸŸ  Trade Setup: SHORT Position

๐Ÿ”น Entry Point:
* ๐Ÿ“ 0.53128 (Just below EMA 70)
* ๐ŸŸจ Confluence: Supply zone + EMA + Trendline resistance

๐Ÿ”น Stop Loss:
* ๐Ÿ›‘ 0.53754 โ€“ 0.53772
* ๐Ÿ”ผ Above the zone = gives room for minor spikes

๐Ÿ”น Take Profit (Target):
* ๐ŸŽฏ 0.51650
* ๐Ÿ“‰ Strong historical support level

๐Ÿ“Š Risk-to-Reward (R:R) Ratio

* ๐Ÿ”บ Risk: ~63 pips
* ๐Ÿ”ป Reward: ~148 pips
โœ… R:R โ‰ˆ 1:2.3 โ†’ ๐Ÿ“ˆ High-probability trade

๐Ÿ” Confluences

* ๐Ÿ“ Trendline Resistance (bearish structure)
* ๐Ÿงญ EMA 70 as dynamic resistance
* ๐ŸŸฆ Supply zone tested
* ๐Ÿ“Š Clear price rejection previously from this level

โ›” Invalidation

* โš ๏ธ Trade is invalid if price closes above 0.53772 โ€ข โœ–๏ธ Breakout = potential trend reversal

โœ… Trade Summary

๐Ÿ”น Component ๐Ÿ”ธ Price Level

๐Ÿ“ Entry 0.53128
๐Ÿ›‘ SL 0.53754 โ€“ 0.53772
๐ŸŽฏ TP 0.51650
๐Ÿ“‰ EMA 70 0.53128

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