AUDJPY (10-January-2021)

Updated
It was a good week last week.
Risk and reward ratio are very important when planning for a trade.
Always only risk 2% of the capital.

It will never be too late to enter a trade.
As long as the lost is limited to 2% of the capital.

We can adjust our position based on the amount of money we can risk.
The upcoming week will be bullish as well.

However, based on Daily Chart,
snapshot

the price has entered into the resistance zone in the Weekly Chart.
snapshot

Thus need to be careful.
Trade a larger time frame if does not have time to monitor it all the time.

Risk only the money that we are willing to lose, otherwise, we will have sleepless night.
Trading is fun, but if it creates stress, we will not be able to perform well.
Note
snapshot

Looking at the 4H chart, consolidation is ongoing at high level.
Before entering into this trade, we will need to wait for the lower low formation, which is also the consolidation of the price action.
Let's observe and see what the price action tell us to do.
Note
snapshot

1Hour chart shows us that lower high has been formed.

If we are using this chart to trade, we need to setup based on 1H chart.
snapshot
Note
snapshot

Not a good trade. Our stop loss has been hit if we were executing the trade based on the plan above.
So lesson learnt, is to trade only chart that we understand.
Don't trade with chart that we don't understand.

This is to increase our probability of having winning trades.
Be patient. The price has dropped after the price hits the resistance level.
Note
Daily Chart is showing some resistant at this level.
snapshot

Pay attention to it and plan for the trade when it starts to move upwards.

snapshot
From the 4H chart, the resistance level has formed.

Let's check the 1H chart.
snapshot
From the 1H chart, the short term head and shoulder have been formed.

Let's check the 15mins chart.
snapshot
Head and shoulder have been formed.

Since I am trading 4H chart to daily chart, confirmation price action has not shown yet. I will prefer to stay aside and observe until the price action gives me the confirmation to enter into the trades.
Note
Another reason that I am not entering into the market to trade this Forex pair is because looking at the past, the price action at this zone is consolidating before deciding the direction to move, either up or down. So need to be careful.

In my past experience, a lot of my profit was taken away as I traded to frequently, and when the price action move within a consolidation price range, it hits my stop loss and my profit was eaten up little by little.
Note
snapshot

4H chart above still consolidating and the resistance level is strong.
Better keep away and observe, before taking any action to buy up, since the trend is uptrend.
Note
snapshot

Daily chart is forming lower low. If we are planning to setup for bullish trade, we need to be patient and observe.
Note
Daily Chart below:
snapshot

It shows that resistance is strong. I do observe that to breakthrough this kind of resistance. The formation of doji or evening start is required.
Note
4H chart

snapshot

It shows that some support has been formed.
Let's plan to trade this pair.
Note
snapshot

Let's plan for this setup, with the risk reward ratio of 2:3.
Chart PatternsTrend AnalysisWave Analysis

Disclaimer