AudJpy Bearish Bat

Updated
This morning, the AUD trade balance was released below consensus. Expected at a surplus of 550M; however, the release came out at a shortage of -628M.

Here we have a bearish bat on the Aussie-Yen. Price is well overbought, so I will be keeping an eye on the 4 hour and daily chart candles for sign of a reversal. Price has broke the weekly trend line completely and began to consolidate- perfect conditions for harmonic patterns. I'm also looking at the NZD-CAD. The AUD-CAD will also be a good pair to analyse for a short position.

Bat Ratios
X:B = 0.38-0.5
A:C = 0.382-0.886
B:D = 1.618-2.618
X:D = 88.6%
Note
Here is the weekly chart, showing the current price as a key level of previous support/resistance- essentially a pivot line. Also note the recent weekly trend line which has been broken, with price re-testing the previous high.

snapshot
Note
The whole swing of the price action has formed a reciprocal AB=CD.

A:C = 1.13:3.618
B:D = 0.382:0.886

snapshot
AUDJPYBearish PatternsButterflyHarmonic PatternskylemcquadeSELLshortsix000sixfigurecapitalTrend Lines

Related publications

Disclaimer