A Review of AVGO
Was asked to take a look at AVGO. In an interest to continue learning and stretching myself I thought I would take it on. Here’s where I landed.
The stock spiked hard starting 25 October and gained nearly 17% in 23 days vs the trend it was on with nearly 14% over 146 days. This looks like an anomaly and maybe some outside factors played a role in this spike. I would expect it to settle back in to it’s health trend soon. It’s certainly on the rise, but working on the data alone I wouldn’t expect it to continue at this new aggressive rate. It’s more likely it will establish a new resistance level, but my guess is it will settle back into it’s current trend and coming back to this $560 range in a more healthy way in around Feb/Mar of 2022. If a new resistance level is established we could see it hitting $600+ in Feb/Mar 2022 instead.
I took a not so scientific look at the resistance levels. It appears the stock skips along the resistance line for an average of 60 days (looked at this pre-COVID and also what it’s doing now - it can be longer or shorter). At the end of each cycle a new resistance level is created. This stock was about establish a new resistance level when it broke out.
Semiconductors sector is an interesting industry. If Broadcom keeps delivering and the demand keeps increase; I expect it to continue to rise. Certainly not financial advise and I’m still learning here. Again, if I missed anything or if there are any tools, indicators or strategies that I could be applying to get better results I would love to hear them.
The stock spiked hard starting 25 October and gained nearly 17% in 23 days vs the trend it was on with nearly 14% over 146 days. This looks like an anomaly and maybe some outside factors played a role in this spike. I would expect it to settle back in to it’s health trend soon. It’s certainly on the rise, but working on the data alone I wouldn’t expect it to continue at this new aggressive rate. It’s more likely it will establish a new resistance level, but my guess is it will settle back into it’s current trend and coming back to this $560 range in a more healthy way in around Feb/Mar of 2022. If a new resistance level is established we could see it hitting $600+ in Feb/Mar 2022 instead.
I took a not so scientific look at the resistance levels. It appears the stock skips along the resistance line for an average of 60 days (looked at this pre-COVID and also what it’s doing now - it can be longer or shorter). At the end of each cycle a new resistance level is created. This stock was about establish a new resistance level when it broke out.
Semiconductors sector is an interesting industry. If Broadcom keeps delivering and the demand keeps increase; I expect it to continue to rise. Certainly not financial advise and I’m still learning here. Again, if I missed anything or if there are any tools, indicators or strategies that I could be applying to get better results I would love to hear them.
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