We finished a clean three wave zigzag which stopped around 123.6% fib extension. There has been lots of call flows into this name for a while and with the news about the China stocks on the board this seems like a risky play. Based on Elliot Wave theory I am long BABA and keep adding to my position as long as we stay above the 0.786% retracement zone in the C-wave. Mental stop is somewhere around 260. My target would be at least 306 which offers a great risk to reward from here.
Note
So far so good. We are keeping the zone for now and we see some positive divergence coming on the 30m timeframe. Keeping this zone is crucial.
Trade active
Well, this aged pretty well so far. Added on weakness, trimmed into strength today.
Leaving from the golden zone with a firm impulsive moves implies (to me though) that this could be the start of impulsive wave 3 which targets for 306 in the short term.
Short term scenario: we need a new cycle high in order to form 5 waves in subwave 1 of 3. Depending on where wave 5 ends, I will wait for a retracement to 0.618% retrace level. Breaking 258 = exit. I have a few March '21 300 Calls.
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.