Hello!
To long this cryptocurrency, it's better to identify a suitable range that has the value of taking the risk. You have identified two patterns for going long on this asset, and you give a higher probability of going long in the first base.
Without having any additional information about this asset and the identified patterns, I cannot provide an opinion on the level of risk and profitability of these decisions. However, considering technical analysis and identifying suitable ranges, you can make a decision to long this asset.
Wishing you success and profitability.