BANKNIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 17-Feb-2025
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🔍 Market Context: BANKNIFTY has been volatile with key resistance and support levels forming strong zones. A structured approach is necessary to navigate different opening scenarios effectively.
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[🟢] 1. Gap-Up Opening (200+ Points) Scenario
If BANKNIFTY opens above 49,242, it enters the Opening Resistance/Support zone.
A rejection here can trigger a short trade, targeting 48,827.
Sustained buying above 49,242 may lead to a rally toward the next resistance at 49,800.
Breakout above 49,800? Expect a push toward 49,984, where partial profit booking is advised.
🔹 Action Plan: ✅ Watch for rejection at 49,242 – Short with SL above 49,300. ✅ If breakout and sustain above 49,242, go long for 49,800. ✅ Above 49,800, confirm strength before fresh longs.
💡 Tip: In a gap-up, options premiums are inflated. Use spreads instead of naked options.
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[🟧] 2. Flat Opening (Within 49,070-49,242)
A flat open suggests uncertainty – potential No Trade Zone.
A breakout above 49,242 confirms bullishness.
A breakdown below 49,070 invites selling toward 48,827.
🔹 Action Plan: ✅ Avoid aggressive trades in the 49,070-49,242 range (No Trade Zone). ✅ If price moves above 49,242, take longs with SL below 49,070. ✅ Below 49,070, short for 48,827.
💡 Tip: Wait 15-30 minutes before entering trades in flat openings to avoid fake breakouts.
A gap-down near/below 48,827 signals bearish sentiment.
48,461 is key intraday support – breaking below leads to further downside.
A pullback to 48,827 may offer a shorting opportunity if resistance holds.
🔹 Action Plan: ✅ If below 48,827, go short targeting 48,461. ✅ Watch for a bounce at 48,461 – a strong recovery may trigger reversals. ✅ If recovery sustains above 48,827, consider longs with SL below 48,750.
💡 Tip: In a gap-down, IV spikes, increasing option prices. Selling OTM calls can benefit from premium decay.
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⚠ Risk Management & Options Trading Tips
🔹 Never overleverage – Always define a stop loss before entering a trade. 🔹 Use spreads – Instead of buying naked options, use vertical spreads to limit risk. 🔹 Watch for traps – Avoid chasing prices at the open; let the market structure develop. 🔹 Be mindful of time decay – For long options trades, prefer ATM strikes to minimize theta decay.
✅ Trading Plan Overview: - Gap-Up: Watch for rejection at 49,242, breakout potential toward 49,800. - Flat Open: No Trade Zone in 49,070-49,242 – wait for confirmation. - Gap-Down: Below 48,827, bearish trend continues toward 48,461.
💡 Final Tip: Stick to your trading plan and avoid emotional decisions. Trading is about discipline, not predictions!
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📢 Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only. Please do your own research before taking any trades. 📊
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.