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Hello, Traders. It's been a while since my last post. A lot has changed in my life: I received a promotion, got married, and traveled extensively across India, as well as to one international destination. While I kept an eye on the markets, I wasn't actively trading for the past year and a half. However, I'm back in action now, having resumed active trading over the last four months. I plan to share my insights whenever I anticipate market movements. Here’s my perspective for tomorrow.
The markets have undergone significant changes in recent years, so it's essential to be cautious with your position sizes. The volatility is high, and algorithmic trading is prevalent, leading to unexpected spikes almost daily. In the past six trading sessions, the markets have been stagnant, often trapping traders with false breakouts in both directions. I believe we are due for a significant move of at least 500 to 600 points in one direction. You can consider going long if a 30-minute candle closes above 50792.90, with the first target set at 51133 and the second at the yellow trendline. Make sure to hold on for at least 350 points on the index before booking profits. You can opt for futures or purchase the 14 Aug 50700 CE, though I recommend futures since expiration is just a day away. It’s also advisable to short the 50700 PE and 50800 PE, keeping a stop-loss at 50% of the premium paid on the call side. If the premium on the 50700 CE reaches 50%, set a stop-loss on the futures. Given the market's volatility, it's best to tread carefully on the downside.
The markets have undergone significant changes in recent years, so it's essential to be cautious with your position sizes. The volatility is high, and algorithmic trading is prevalent, leading to unexpected spikes almost daily. In the past six trading sessions, the markets have been stagnant, often trapping traders with false breakouts in both directions. I believe we are due for a significant move of at least 500 to 600 points in one direction. You can consider going long if a 30-minute candle closes above 50792.90, with the first target set at 51133 and the second at the yellow trendline. Make sure to hold on for at least 350 points on the index before booking profits. You can opt for futures or purchase the 14 Aug 50700 CE, though I recommend futures since expiration is just a day away. It’s also advisable to short the 50700 PE and 50800 PE, keeping a stop-loss at 50% of the premium paid on the call side. If the premium on the 50700 CE reaches 50%, set a stop-loss on the futures. Given the market's volatility, it's best to tread carefully on the downside.
Note
No Activation till now. Will update if we get any opportunity on sell side.Note
50226.60 is the level . closing of current 30 min candle below this. You can go for short for at least 300- 500 points. SL is 50% of premium paid.Note
shorted half quantity 50100 CE 14 Aug @ 217. SL is 325.5, Target is when premium value remains 10-15 pointsNote
50100 CE 14 Aug is currently trading at 167-170. Gain of only 50 points till now . so now here is your test will you book at this profit or will wait for it to go down. Note
the 50100 CE has made low of 33.7 till now. After entry index has gone down 370 points , You can book half of the quantity and keep SL for rest at 100 level.Trade closed: target reached
50100 CE has made low of 11.7. I have booked all quantity. You should book too because today is expiry and Gamma blast can take your profits as today is expiry.
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