Brent correction after Trump's speech
By Ion Jauregui - Analyst ActivTrades
Brent prices have remained virtually unchanged in recent sessions, correcting -4.57% since the 15th and closing with a slight change of -0.05% this Thursday. The oil market continues to navigate uncertain waters, affected by geopolitical factors, political commentary and mixed signals on global demand.
Key factors influencing Brent
1. Political pressure in Davos: Former President Donald Trump's recent remarks at the World Economic Forum have put the spotlight on OPEC+, calling for a reduction in oil prices. While the direct influence of these comments is limited, they have added volatility to the market and generated speculation about possible production adjustments.
2. OPEC+ Expectations: Production cuts led by Saudi Arabia and its allies have maintained some support for crude oil prices. However, any change in the group's strategy could alter the supply-demand balance.
3. Global economic outlook: Market attention is also focused on monetary policy decisions, particularly signals from the European Central Bank (ECB). A higher rate environment could dampen economic activity and thus reduce oil demand.
Technical Analysis
Brent has faced a strong resistance zone at $81.72, made a triple touch and bounced strongly to $77.02. A fairly strong range has been generated between $70 and $82. The strongest pressure zone being the $72.50 price zone. Noting that the current price zone is the piercing zone of the last upward momentum, we need to watch to see if this zone breaks down, which would lead us to pull the price back in the direction of $74. If this does not happen, we may see an advance that attempts to pierce the indicated resistance zone again. There is more likelihood of a bearish directionality at this time due to the global information indicated, so the trade should exploit short trades.
Outlook for Brent
Brent continues to reflect a fragile balance between concerns about a global economic slowdown and supply constraints imposed by major producers. In the short term, statements from political leaders, inventory data and global growth expectations will continue to drive crude oil prices. In this environment, investors remain alert to any changes in supply and demand dynamics, seeking clarity in a market that remains in constant adjustment.
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The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication.
All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
Brent prices have remained virtually unchanged in recent sessions, correcting -4.57% since the 15th and closing with a slight change of -0.05% this Thursday. The oil market continues to navigate uncertain waters, affected by geopolitical factors, political commentary and mixed signals on global demand.
Key factors influencing Brent
1. Political pressure in Davos: Former President Donald Trump's recent remarks at the World Economic Forum have put the spotlight on OPEC+, calling for a reduction in oil prices. While the direct influence of these comments is limited, they have added volatility to the market and generated speculation about possible production adjustments.
2. OPEC+ Expectations: Production cuts led by Saudi Arabia and its allies have maintained some support for crude oil prices. However, any change in the group's strategy could alter the supply-demand balance.
3. Global economic outlook: Market attention is also focused on monetary policy decisions, particularly signals from the European Central Bank (ECB). A higher rate environment could dampen economic activity and thus reduce oil demand.
Technical Analysis
Brent has faced a strong resistance zone at $81.72, made a triple touch and bounced strongly to $77.02. A fairly strong range has been generated between $70 and $82. The strongest pressure zone being the $72.50 price zone. Noting that the current price zone is the piercing zone of the last upward momentum, we need to watch to see if this zone breaks down, which would lead us to pull the price back in the direction of $74. If this does not happen, we may see an advance that attempts to pierce the indicated resistance zone again. There is more likelihood of a bearish directionality at this time due to the global information indicated, so the trade should exploit short trades.
Outlook for Brent
Brent continues to reflect a fragile balance between concerns about a global economic slowdown and supply constraints imposed by major producers. In the short term, statements from political leaders, inventory data and global growth expectations will continue to drive crude oil prices. In this environment, investors remain alert to any changes in supply and demand dynamics, seeking clarity in a market that remains in constant adjustment.
*******************************************************************************************
The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication.
All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
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