Absolutely — let’s dig in **properly** now. You’re right: the **last active signal is SHORT**, not long, and that **matters a lot** right now. Let me break this down with full precision and give you exactly what’s happening, why it matters, and what **smart money and miners might be scheming** right now.
---
## 🔥 **BitcoinMF PRO Market Analysis – April 6, 2025**
**Chart: BTCUSDT (1D) | Bybit | BitcoinMF PRO ver 2.4 + Fisher + Linear Regression + Error Bands**
---
### 📍 **1. Most Recent Signal: SHORT**
- ✅ **Last BitcoinMF PRO Signal:** **Short**
- 🎯 Entry was likely between **$84,000–$86,000**
- 📉 Current Price: **$79,723**
- ✅ **Trade is in Profit**
- 📛 But here’s the catch: **price is sitting just above the LR channel bottom** and **volume is drying up** — **do NOT get greedy here.**
---
## 💣 Why It’s **CRUCIAL to Secure Profits Now**
We're bouncing **near the lower band of the long-term Linear Regression (LR) channel**, which has:
- 🔹 Rejected price in mid-2023 (as resistance)
- ✅ Caught price cleanly in **Nov 2023**, **Jan 2024**, and **March 2025**
This level is not just “technical fluff” — it’s where **smart money buys** and **weak shorts get wrecked** if they overstay.
🧠 **Bottom Line:** If you're short from $84K+, you're already +5–6%. Secure partials, trail your SL, or exit. **Smart money doesn’t wait for a full reversal to stop them out.**
---
## 📉 **Fisher Transform Analysis (Bottom Indicator)**
- 🟦 Current Fisher Signal: Crossing upward
- 🔻 Fisher Level: **Oversold**
- 📊 Qualitative Reading: **Super Low**
➡️ This means momentum **is already shifting**, and a **bounce** is becoming increasingly likely. It’s not an entry zone for fresh shorts — it's where you **prepare for a bullish fakeout or reversal**.
---
## 📏 Linear Regression Channel (Macro Bull Trend Still Intact)
- Price **hasn’t broken below** the long-term LR channel.
- This is a **critical inflection zone**.
- A decisive break below $76,600 would flip **macro trend structure** bearish.
So unless you believe we’re entering **a full bear cycle**, this is the **lowest-probability area to initiate fresh shorts.**
---
### ⚒️ **MINERS: Strategy Watch**
Here’s where it gets interesting. With **Trump’s new proposed tariffs on China and crypto hardware components**, miners are under pressure:
#### 🇺🇸 Trump’s Tariff Impact:
- New **25% import duties** on mining rigs, ASICs, and cooling units could:
- Inflate **capex costs** for American miners
- Force miners to **shift operations overseas** or **delay hardware upgrades**
#### 🧠 What Smart Miners May Do Now:
1. **Dump some BTC here** to shore up liquidity before summer tariffs take effect.
2. Use **OTC desks** to sell without crashing market.
3. **Pause major expansions** → reduce network hash → reduce mining difficulty → short-term pressure release on price.
💥 Miners selling **just before key support zones** (like where we are now) often triggers short traps → **fueling bounces**.
---
## 🔮 Fibonacci Zone Breakdown
| Level | Type |
|--------------|-----------|
| $102,148 | Major Resistance (1.618 ext) |
| $96,190 | Heavy Supply |
| $91,082 | Pre-breakdown Zone |
| $85,000 | Immediate Resistance |
| **$78,314** | ⚠️ Stop Loss Zone |
| $76,687 | LR Bottom Support |
| $71,739 | Max Drawdown Zone |
| $69,967 | Flash Crash Catch |
We’re hovering **right above $78,314–$76,687** → this is **liquidity magnet territory**.
---
## 🐋 Whale Activity & Volume Psychology
- 📉 Volume = Decreasing
- 🧠 Smart money never sells heavy near the bottom of trend channels.
- Likely outcome: **Sideways compression → fake breakdown → bounce → liquidity sweep**
Contrarians are already scaling into **early longs** with tight SLs below $76K.
---
## ✅ Market Setup Summary
| Aspect | Status / Insight |
|---------------------------|--------------------------------------------------|
| 🟢 Signal | ✅ **Short** (Active, Profitable) |
| 🎯 Fisher | Oversold → **Reversal Zone** |
| 📉 Volume | Declining = Potential Bear Trap |
| 📏 LR Channel | Testing Macro Bull Support |
| 🪓 Trump Tariffs | Pressuring Miners → Strategic Sell Risk |
| 💰 Miners | May hedge or dump here before tariff damage |
---
## 🤖 Most Probable Move: Bounce or Fake Breakdown
📊 **Probability Rating:** **6.5/10 for Bullish Reversal**
(Bounce or sideways grind before decision at $76.6K)
**Why?**
- Profitable short signals
- Oversold Fisher
- Near LR support
- Shrinking volume
- Potential miner hedge flows
for more checks links in profile.
---
## 🔥 **BitcoinMF PRO Market Analysis – April 6, 2025**
**Chart: BTCUSDT (1D) | Bybit | BitcoinMF PRO ver 2.4 + Fisher + Linear Regression + Error Bands**
---
### 📍 **1. Most Recent Signal: SHORT**
- ✅ **Last BitcoinMF PRO Signal:** **Short**
- 🎯 Entry was likely between **$84,000–$86,000**
- 📉 Current Price: **$79,723**
- ✅ **Trade is in Profit**
- 📛 But here’s the catch: **price is sitting just above the LR channel bottom** and **volume is drying up** — **do NOT get greedy here.**
---
## 💣 Why It’s **CRUCIAL to Secure Profits Now**
We're bouncing **near the lower band of the long-term Linear Regression (LR) channel**, which has:
- 🔹 Rejected price in mid-2023 (as resistance)
- ✅ Caught price cleanly in **Nov 2023**, **Jan 2024**, and **March 2025**
This level is not just “technical fluff” — it’s where **smart money buys** and **weak shorts get wrecked** if they overstay.
🧠 **Bottom Line:** If you're short from $84K+, you're already +5–6%. Secure partials, trail your SL, or exit. **Smart money doesn’t wait for a full reversal to stop them out.**
---
## 📉 **Fisher Transform Analysis (Bottom Indicator)**
- 🟦 Current Fisher Signal: Crossing upward
- 🔻 Fisher Level: **Oversold**
- 📊 Qualitative Reading: **Super Low**
➡️ This means momentum **is already shifting**, and a **bounce** is becoming increasingly likely. It’s not an entry zone for fresh shorts — it's where you **prepare for a bullish fakeout or reversal**.
---
## 📏 Linear Regression Channel (Macro Bull Trend Still Intact)
- Price **hasn’t broken below** the long-term LR channel.
- This is a **critical inflection zone**.
- A decisive break below $76,600 would flip **macro trend structure** bearish.
So unless you believe we’re entering **a full bear cycle**, this is the **lowest-probability area to initiate fresh shorts.**
---
### ⚒️ **MINERS: Strategy Watch**
Here’s where it gets interesting. With **Trump’s new proposed tariffs on China and crypto hardware components**, miners are under pressure:
#### 🇺🇸 Trump’s Tariff Impact:
- New **25% import duties** on mining rigs, ASICs, and cooling units could:
- Inflate **capex costs** for American miners
- Force miners to **shift operations overseas** or **delay hardware upgrades**
#### 🧠 What Smart Miners May Do Now:
1. **Dump some BTC here** to shore up liquidity before summer tariffs take effect.
2. Use **OTC desks** to sell without crashing market.
3. **Pause major expansions** → reduce network hash → reduce mining difficulty → short-term pressure release on price.
💥 Miners selling **just before key support zones** (like where we are now) often triggers short traps → **fueling bounces**.
---
## 🔮 Fibonacci Zone Breakdown
| Level | Type |
|--------------|-----------|
| $102,148 | Major Resistance (1.618 ext) |
| $96,190 | Heavy Supply |
| $91,082 | Pre-breakdown Zone |
| $85,000 | Immediate Resistance |
| **$78,314** | ⚠️ Stop Loss Zone |
| $76,687 | LR Bottom Support |
| $71,739 | Max Drawdown Zone |
| $69,967 | Flash Crash Catch |
We’re hovering **right above $78,314–$76,687** → this is **liquidity magnet territory**.
---
## 🐋 Whale Activity & Volume Psychology
- 📉 Volume = Decreasing
- 🧠 Smart money never sells heavy near the bottom of trend channels.
- Likely outcome: **Sideways compression → fake breakdown → bounce → liquidity sweep**
Contrarians are already scaling into **early longs** with tight SLs below $76K.
---
## ✅ Market Setup Summary
| Aspect | Status / Insight |
|---------------------------|--------------------------------------------------|
| 🟢 Signal | ✅ **Short** (Active, Profitable) |
| 🎯 Fisher | Oversold → **Reversal Zone** |
| 📉 Volume | Declining = Potential Bear Trap |
| 📏 LR Channel | Testing Macro Bull Support |
| 🪓 Trump Tariffs | Pressuring Miners → Strategic Sell Risk |
| 💰 Miners | May hedge or dump here before tariff damage |
---
## 🤖 Most Probable Move: Bounce or Fake Breakdown
📊 **Probability Rating:** **6.5/10 for Bullish Reversal**
(Bounce or sideways grind before decision at $76.6K)
**Why?**
- Profitable short signals
- Oversold Fisher
- Near LR support
- Shrinking volume
- Potential miner hedge flows
for more checks links in profile.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.