Bitcoin
Short

BTC_ Q3 _Execution _ Summary _ (Published July 5th)

137
Model Type: Proprietary Market Forecasting Model
Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Phases Covered:

• Stage 1: Accumulation Phase
• Stage 2: Advance Phase

✅ Levels Completed

Level 1: Accumulation Phase Initiation

• Structure identified with a clear base formation.
• Price established a bottom around $107,046.85, narrowly missing the lower retest.
• Confirmed bullish reversal through July , Week 1 and Week2 structure completion.

Level 2: Early Breakout

• Marked by breakout above resistance at $109,925.73.
• Price pushed through to $110,160.94, validating the early advance.
• Completion of Week 2 of July indicating internal structure support.

Level 3: Mid-Cycle Rally

• Bullish continuation toward $110,943.69 and $111,456.97.
• Structure (C)-(D)-(E) confirms strong wave symmetry and market acceptance.
• Brief consolidation validated by backtest zones at $108,535.49 and $107,637.

Level 4: Expansion Phase

• Market continued to rally into $113,114.94, achieving projected top for (B).
• Retested support at $111,456.97, forming a new bullish foundation.
• Completion of Previous Month , Week 4 confirms higher - order fractal alignment.

Level 5: Distribution Setup

Price retested and reclaimed critical breakout zones:

• $109,598.69, $109,742.14, and $111,138.52.
• Completed fractal (C)-(E) cycle toward macro level (B).
• Finalised market structure transition from advance into early distribution.

🔍 Key Support & Resistance Levels

Support Zones (S):

• $109,925.73
• $110,160.94
• $110,943.69
• $111,456.97

Breakout Zones (B):

• $108,535.49
• $109,598.69
• $109,742.14
• $111,138.52
• $112,577.20

Missed Retests:

• $107,637
• $107,046.85

📌 Summary:

The BTC forecast published on July 5th has successfully completed Levels 1 through 5, with all key structural checkpoints met. The market followed the projected model fractals with high accuracy, including complex Week 1 & week2 structures covering June period, ABC-E corrections, and internal retests. This confirms the model’s live execution integrity and further solidifies its reliability for Q3 distribution forecasting.

Disclaimer: The following forecast is derived from a proprietary, hand-crafted mathematical model developed independently over several years. It does not rely on traditional indicators, technical patterns, or third-party frameworks such as Elliott Wave Theory.

This model calculates price action based on distribution phases, economic timing cycles, and natural market imbalances.

#BTC /USD #Market Structure #Cycle Analysis #Quant Model#Technical Outlook.

Bitcoin _(BTC/USD)_ Distribution _ Forecast _ Q3 2025

Disclaimer

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