Echoes of the Past: BTC Price Action Resembling November 2020

Fellow Traders,

In the current climate of extended BTC prices, many are on the lookout for a retrace. This anticipation is rooted in a traditional market rhythm where what goes up must come down, at least for a breather. However, it's crucial to cast our minds back to the 2020 scenario, where similar conditions were at play.

During November 2020, BTC experienced a significant surge, much like our current situation. The price was deemed 'too extended' by many, with calls for a retrace being echoed across the trading community. Yet, the expected pullback remained elusive, and the rally continued much longer than many anticipated.

The charts today are painting a familiar picture. Technical indicators and price action that closely resemble the 2020 playbook suggest we may be in for a repeat performance. If history is to serve as a guide, the retrace that seems so obvious may not materialize in the manner or magnitude expected.
snapshot

It's a reminder of the market's capacity to defy consensus and continue on its path despite extended conditions. This is not to say a retrace is off the table, but rather that the market may not conform to the same patterns we rely on as signals.

As we move forward, let's keep an open mind to all possibilities. Whether or not BTC decides to take that breath we're all expecting, our strategies must be nimble, our risk management tight, and our perspectives unanchored from past events.

In Bitcoin we trust, but the market, we must adapt.

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