🚨 
BTC: We Are in a Bear Market Until Proven Otherwise 🚨
📌 Follow-up to my December 2024 post:
🔗
Despite record-breaking bullish news, Bitcoin is not at an all-time high. Why? Because we’re still in a bear market—until the charts say otherwise.
✅ Bullish Factors:
❌ Bearish Signals:
🧭 Monthly chart check the MACD:
🔗
⚠️ Key Insight:
Every cycle, people confuse a relief rally for a new bull run. This isn't new.
A relief rally = short-term price recovery in a bear market.
(AKA a dead cat bounce or sucker rally)
📊 Past relief rallies (check the chart):
+45% (Feb 2022)
+32% (June 2022)
Current one: only +16% — still within bear territory.
📉 Price could hit $91k and still drop lower while staying in an ongoing bear Market..
🧨 Bear Market Target:
25K–
27K
📈 Invalidation? Only if we close above $101K
Don’t trade your emotions. Trade the charts. They never lie.
#Bitcoin #CryptoMarket #BTC #BearMarket #CryptoAnalysis #SPX500 #CryptoTrading #Recession2025 #BTCPrice #CryptoCrash #CryptoNews #MichaelSaylor #TrumpCrypto #BTCBearMarket
BTC: We Are in a Bear Market Until Proven Otherwise 🚨📌 Follow-up to my December 2024 post:
🔗
Despite record-breaking bullish news, Bitcoin is not at an all-time high. Why? Because we’re still in a bear market—until the charts say otherwise.
✅ Bullish Factors:
- Michael Saylor continues buying billions
- President Trump & family pushing crypto/meme coins
- Rumors: Fed buying BTC with gold?
- Trump pinned the Bitcoin white paper at the White House
- U.S. banks fully onboard with crypto
- ETFs accumulating BTC
- National crypto reserve announced
❌ Bearish Signals:
- Fear & Greed Index in "extreme fear" for 30+ days
- Price is below the EMA50 on weekly
- Monthly MACD nearing bearish crossover
- Trading volume decreasing
- Crypto search interest at multi-year lows
- Retails not buying — this is all institutions
- Powell confirmed we're in a recession
- Desperate whales calling for $5M–$9M BTC to bait retail
🧭 Monthly chart check the MACD:
🔗
⚠️ Key Insight:
Every cycle, people confuse a relief rally for a new bull run. This isn't new.
A relief rally = short-term price recovery in a bear market.
(AKA a dead cat bounce or sucker rally)
📊 Past relief rallies (check the chart):
+45% (Feb 2022)
+32% (June 2022)
Current one: only +16% — still within bear territory.
📉 Price could hit $91k and still drop lower while staying in an ongoing bear Market..
🧨 Bear Market Target:
25K–27K📈 Invalidation? Only if we close above $101K
Don’t trade your emotions. Trade the charts. They never lie.
#Bitcoin #CryptoMarket #BTC #BearMarket #CryptoAnalysis #SPX500 #CryptoTrading #Recession2025 #BTCPrice #CryptoCrash #CryptoNews #MichaelSaylor #TrumpCrypto #BTCBearMarket
Trade closed: stop reached
Well well well... Until proven otherwise!Bitcoin reaching $91k is invalidating this idea. No one can be right all the time. It was an interesting idea to write.
We are still in a bull market, the longest in the history of Bitcoin. Enjoy the pump!
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.