using 2014/2015 as reference. that big final wick was the 2rd one after it first went down -65%, then it additionally went down -55% finally at this final wick, which was a big enough shock end the bear run. it technically jump higher in price than its rock bottom wick final low, but it slowly but healthily built up for essentially all of 2015. I think we are at the stage now in 2018 right before that final big drop that will be enough to shock the system back.