Last Leg of The Bull Run
Based on historical patterns, I believe we are in the final phase of the current bull run. Analyzing previous market cycles, the peak of the 2013 bull run to the 2017 peak had a 49-month bar separation, while the 2017 to 2021 cycle exhibited a 47-month separation. Following this established “-2” pattern, the next peak is likely to occur with a 45-month separation.
Additionally, we are currently positioned within a monthly fair value gap, which could drive the market to new highs. However, I remain skeptical about the sustainability of this rally due to the impact of the U.S. crypto reserve. Institutional investors may perceive this as an opportunity for exit liquidity, aligning with the well-known market principle: "Buy the hype, sell the news."
- Gavin
do your own research
not financial advice just a speculation
Additionally, we are currently positioned within a monthly fair value gap, which could drive the market to new highs. However, I remain skeptical about the sustainability of this rally due to the impact of the U.S. crypto reserve. Institutional investors may perceive this as an opportunity for exit liquidity, aligning with the well-known market principle: "Buy the hype, sell the news."
- Gavin
do your own research
not financial advice just a speculation
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.