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BTCUSD, Are we going to face 35% Correction ?! (Local View)

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BTCUSD, Are we going to face 35% Correction ?! (Local View)

Let's take a look at local movements on BTCUSD .

Since last post Bitcoin moved in our favor, reached 38,500$.
We have a strong bounce here, which is heading towards upper 40s as long as daily close was above big red candle.

There is a probability, that Bitcoin is going to draw lower high which can be anywhere from 38.2 to 61.8 (Golden Pocket) Fib. In confluence we have several magnets at this range.

  • Possible stop losses around 43,500$
  • Fair Value Gap around 44,500$. Possible liquidations Across top 3 exchanges (Binance, OKX, Bybit) totaling around 4.0 Bln. USD. (This number covers last 30 Days Data)


Hence we should take into consideration, that huge amount of liquidity is sitting down in the previous reaccumulation zone. (Suggesting to check out Liquidity Heatmap . Putting link because I am not able to add screenshot.)



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Next I want to mention one weird thread I bumped into on Twitter.


It’s about HTX (ex Huobi), which is owned by Justin Sun. They turned off their proof-of-reserves system, what hints about their insolvency. Onchain analysis say that they have problems with ETH holdings.

Also this is not connected to only HTX, things are being wrong with TUSD and stUSDT (Stacked USDT receipt on TRON Network).

For further details about this event please read thread from adamscochran on twitter . Hence there was around 600 Mln. USDT transfer to JustlandDao yesterday.

In the end, I want to mention, that there is no 100% accurate analysis.
We are dealing with probabilities, just with analysis we are shifting probabilities to our favor.

Best Wishes.
Note
snapshot

Bitcoin broke above our resistance zones and moved above 50,000$, first time since 2021 and currently price is dealing with that psychological level.

RSI is still in overbought zone and shaping bearish divergence on weekly.
DXY Getting stronger and on USDT.D bullish divergence is being observed.

Everything is possible.

Best Wishes.
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