On the chart we see inverted cup and handle , the line of resistance is penetrated (is indicated by a yellow circle), the model is considered to be confirmed,
The breakdown of the resistance line is accompanied by a huge volume, which confirms the final formation of the model
the target level of this model is very low, I'm afraid to call it...
The breakdown of the resistance line is accompanied by a huge volume, which confirms the final formation of the model
the target level of this model is very low, I'm afraid to call it...
Note
waiting for the close of the day candleNote
At the moment we found support at the level of the past rebound 6600 - 6700 and we test the Fibonacci level as resistance .In my opinion support is very weak and we will certainly fall to the previous level of 6000$
P.S
I received several reports that I am causing panic, but this is just an analysis of the formed figure
Note
Indicators:1) RSI oversold, but it's a weak signal
2) DMI - line ADX indicates a strong downtrend
3) MACD is below the zero mark
In addition, the day candle closed below the level of 0.786 fib
Bulls should close the candle above the level of 0.786, this will be a confirmation of the rebound
Note
cartel collusion and the seizure of the crypto market medium.com/@super.crypto1/4th-dimension-bitcoin-manipulation-cartel-can-it-be-burnt-no-way-c53de65c166aNote
Target level - the height of the cup from the breakdown point~11800-6600=5300 ( cup height )
~7550 ( breakdown point )
~7550-5300=2250 ( target level ) (!!!)
do not forget about the important level in 6k , but personally I hardly believe in him
Note
As you can see we rebounded from the level of 0.786 ( yellow circle )maybe we will consolidate in the blue circle and try to break the level again or we'll go even lower
Note
I remind you that you can buy only after breaking through the level of 0.786 (7250 ) and confirming it as supportNote
in fact, there is a war of fundamental and technical analysis , technical analysis tells us about the fall to $ 2,250, but can it be allowed by the miners? As it seems to me, the miners are basically China, and the market is controlled mainly by the USA ( read how banks seize top-end exchanges and create a cartel )
and this is reminiscent of the trade war between the US and China ( in the crypto-currency zone )
medium.com/@super.crypto1/4th-dimension-bitcoin-manipulation-cartel-can-it-be-burnt-no-way-c53de65c166a
Note
General pictureWe are in the range between 7250 $ ( 0.786 fib resistance ) and 6675 $ ( local minimum )
Leaving the range means continuing or reversing the movement
Also, in my opinion, we observe a hidden divergence, but in this blue circle the volume is noticeably larger than in the previous one and this can be understood in different ways
It remains only to observe, my advice to open a deal only on the breakthrough of the range
Note
i'am sorry , in a blue rectangle :DNote
I received several reports that people do not want to watch the idea because of its provocative titleI do not mean that bitcoin will come to the real end, I want to say that soon we are waiting for a strong price reduction
I think it's no secret that the market is captured by a certain group of people ( read the link ) medium.com/@super.crypto1/4th-dimension-bitcoin-manipulation-cartel-can-it-be-burnt-no-way-c53de65c166a
Note
I don't recommend placing orders for 6000 in the hope of a rebound it is better to wait for the candle to close higher
Note
In the case of an upward movement, I will place my order at 7467.5 because the first thing we will face is the confirmed resistance level ( 0.786 fib 7250 ) , a sufficient level of resistance breaking is 7467.5 because 3% of 7250 is 217.5, 217.5 + 7250 = 7467.5 ( the rule of three percent , Martin J. Pring )Note
On the first screenshot we see the usual divergence that tells us about the easing of the movement and the possible change of trendOn the second screenshot we see a hidden divergence that indicates a continuation of the downward trend
in favor of lowering from above there is a resistance level ( 7250 )
in favor of raising there is a rebound from the SMA 50 (see the screenshot above)
write comments on what you think about it , the situation is ambiguous
Note
Congratulations!1)the breakthrough of the flag is indicated by a blue circle
2)bitcoin broke through resistance level ( 0.786 Fib 7250 ) , but we still need to wait for the candle to close above this level
3)red circle indicates the target level of flag
just below the red circle you can see the descending trend line , this is our next resistance
Note
The candle closed below the support level , compare the red circles on the diagram , all show signs of exhaustion ( especially now , because we immediately returned under the support level ) Also compare the volumes, in our case it is bigger and it confirms the breakthrough of the support level
at the moment everything indicates at 6000 , we will observe
Note
we will face a difficult period in the trade in cryptocurrencies , because in this market other coins can not move apart from bitcoin , for this we need a big price increase again , if someone else thinks about eternal growth, then I recommend forgetting about it , the last step is a panic sale , the last step is taking money from the last people , serious people want to buy as cheap as possible , experienced players came to the market and simple trade will not be write comments on what you think about it
Note
If the daylight candle closes in this form, then it can be called bullish absorption ( this is a possible reversal signal ) in my opinion the market is moving strangely , today I noticed several reports of a possible reversal movement ( technical analysis doesn't give such reasons ) , unusual low volatility ( in the blue zone ) I think that the price is specifically kept from falling below , this behavior of the market is contrary to technical analysis
Note
in my opinion we see a pennant , pennant means a continuation of the trend , It is necessary to wait for the breakthrough of the pennant and the downtrend line ( The four hour candle should close above ) I adjusted the Fibonacci grid , the previous grid was not accurate enough , If the four hour candle closes below the level of 6723 , then the upward movement is canceled
Note
I have a premonition that we will return to the descending channel again , there is no volume for continuing growth , this will be a sign of exhaustion , ambiguous market situationNote
I want to know who regularly check my updates , please write me a personal message ( I want to find my audience )Note
More detailed picture price rebounded from the level of 0.786 ( the big red circle ) , this is a bad sign for continuing the movement , the fall was accompanied by a large volume + the bearish flag , now the price bounces from the level of 0.5 ( the small red circle )
in my opinion the chart looks bad , but there is an opinion that this fall was triggered by the sale of Russian oligarchs , it sounds strange, but I'm considering all the options , because of this, technical analysis may be incorrect
To be honest the last 10 days the market behaves very strange and I would not be surprised if the price now goes up
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.