BitcoinLong
BTC Time Cycle Analysis
Looking back on BTC's peaks and troughs there is an interesting correlation between the number of months between each cycle high, months between each cycle low, and the time a bull market lasts. This time/cycle correlation is becoming more accurate as time goes on, which gives me an estimate when BTC will reaches its market top in the future. Also, how long the next bear market will last before the next cycle starts.
Peak to Peak - 47 Months
Trough to Trough - 47 Months
Length of Bull Cycle - 35 Months
Length of Bear Cycle - 12 Months
If this trend continues, the bull market would end roughly in October of 2025, and a bear market will last for about a year.
The RSI peaks an troughs also line up with each cycle top/bottom (with the exception Nov 2021 where there was major momentum divergence from price). There would be a high probability that overbought conditions are met roughly in Oct 2025 as well.
Peak to Peak - 47 Months
Trough to Trough - 47 Months
Length of Bull Cycle - 35 Months
Length of Bear Cycle - 12 Months
If this trend continues, the bull market would end roughly in October of 2025, and a bear market will last for about a year.
The RSI peaks an troughs also line up with each cycle top/bottom (with the exception Nov 2021 where there was major momentum divergence from price). There would be a high probability that overbought conditions are met roughly in Oct 2025 as well.
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.