Hello my friends.
I've been looking for the best analysis for current phase. Short term signals could drive to many mistakes now because big move is ahead. Bulls from recent top became bearish again, so Market Gods have to look for some solution. This is place where emotions need to be kept at certain level, so rich people can accelerate their income source and stay safe. How do they do this? Well, this is the easiest trick on whole world, just giving to people reason to short on bottom or long on top. As You could see price is bottoming nicely and showing volume decrease and strange price fluctuations also. When You zoom in, there are a lot of fractals, up and down ticks where day traders are screwed.This means that big move is ahead, soon majority will make up their decision and We will be able to predict this. First of all, We need to slow down here. If bulls weak up, they will keep constant tempo and check EMA 12 again in short period of time (1week). Then uptrend will be judged by pitchfork, where bulls will decide if they are strong enough to drive price near 11k level. Yes, You haven't misread this. 11k is very real, 'W' formation is well known in cryptospace, BTC has drawn double bottoms many times in past. So pitchfork breakthrough would signal mid term uptrend, however We need to be aware of any fakeouts. Bearish scenario is more about too optimistic mood reffering to global stock behaviour.
As You could see, BTC is testing EMA 12 and this seems pretty accurate resistance. If the price tests it again within few days, it would be sign of bigger battle and You should check Your strategy to ensure Your safety. Always be prepared for sudden disruption, where bigger formations would remind themselves. Remember that playing on big market moves is good choice when You have strategy plan. If You like gambling then wait through this uncertainity and try smaller profits by playing major breakouts and confirmations. All in all BTC seems pretty bearish, but it slipped pretty swiftly so mid term comeback is very possible.
Levels to watch:
1. EMA 12 breakout or retest. Breaking through this indicator would be great signal for long.
2.Pitchfork. Breaking through could resume uptrend temporary.
3.Volume. Of course interest rate is very important to us while judging market's strenght. ~80k BTC traded on Bitfinex at one day would signal some good news.