Bitcoin Possible Spring Post Spring Fakeout
Updated
Bitcoin Possible Spring Post Spring Fakeout
Reasons for this outlook:
At the beginning of this trading range, the development started with a normal Seller's Climax (SC) and then developed the trading range as expected. As time passed the setup for the spring to match the online schematic diagrams that most are used to looked like a "match". However, things from there then made an unexpected move. On a smaller time frame a mini distribution triggered within the longer term acccumulation struction which lined up with the FTX black swan event. As things stand now, I think the market looks poised to spring up for daily/weekly relief rally. The news of FTX and the other dominos still wobbling in the industry have created an almost perfect terminal shakeout situation. The general sentiment is bearish and people are angry, so it's a perfect time to catch traders off guard.
Still if history rhymes, things will probably drop back down and move sideways for another year or year and a half after the relief rally (if it plays out).
Not financial advice and stay away from leverage right now imho. Good luck and trade safe.
Reasons for this outlook:
- More people are now much more familiar with Wychoffian patterns. New patterns emerge to psych out the expecting.
- The diagrams online were only ever meant to give an idea of the different developments in a trading range.
At the beginning of this trading range, the development started with a normal Seller's Climax (SC) and then developed the trading range as expected. As time passed the setup for the spring to match the online schematic diagrams that most are used to looked like a "match". However, things from there then made an unexpected move. On a smaller time frame a mini distribution triggered within the longer term acccumulation struction which lined up with the FTX black swan event. As things stand now, I think the market looks poised to spring up for daily/weekly relief rally. The news of FTX and the other dominos still wobbling in the industry have created an almost perfect terminal shakeout situation. The general sentiment is bearish and people are angry, so it's a perfect time to catch traders off guard.
Still if history rhymes, things will probably drop back down and move sideways for another year or year and a half after the relief rally (if it plays out).
Not financial advice and stay away from leverage right now imho. Good luck and trade safe.
Note
Let's see if anyone is shopping this Black Friday sale to change the momentum.Note
Note
Two week outlook still looks good for now Trade active
Trade active
Springing a bit on small timeframes.Trade active
Strong moves up on 15min timeframe. Hoping to see some long term traders go long and push the long timeframes up impulsively. Note
The Waiting is the hardest part youtube.com/watch?v=uMyCa35_mOgTrade active
Still seems to be rounding up, though slower than anticipated.Note
TICK TOCKNote
So far not wrong, but not right either. Just more sideways, but I'm hoping I'm just early on my call.
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