So the MACD on Monthly blinked Red for the first time for BTC after Jul 1 2018 and Feb 1, 2020 In both cases, the price dropped around 60% from the moment it occurred - right down to the previous ATHs.
Closing the month in red like this, below $38.500 would validate this signal and most likely continue downwards in a correction wave with relief bounces.
Given this scenario, the bottom line of defense is $19.500-20.000, just where the MA 200 lies and exactly where the previous ATH was.
Remember, this ATH was never tested as support, it just shot through it like a rocket and never went back - and BTC <3 testing old resistances and flipping them to support.
Personally, I’ will stay in stables unless the MACD is invalidated which would mean bulls are taking over.
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.