Bitcoin’s Role in Overcoming Tariffs | Public Release 01
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B.A.S.E Fund | Public Release 01
Bitcoin has once again reached the third touch of the 2D 50 SMA, with recent price drawdowns coinciding with the latest U.S. tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China. Despite short term volatility, our models continue to indicate a strong hold for Bitcoin in the near future. The U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI is heating up, signaling potential rate cuts on the horizon. If monetary easing materializes, downward pressure on the U.S. dollar (DXY) could provide further tailwinds for Bitcoin.
A faint trendline extending from the 2016 cycle suggests a similar trajectory, though broader market forces dictate that the overall price channel remains the key indicator to watch.
Our initial caution zone begins at $374,000, extending toward $1,000,000. However, given the evolving macroeconomic environment and increasing state level adoption of Bitcoin in the U.S., we acknowledge the possibility that Bitcoin could diverge from its traditional boom-and-bust cycles.
A Market Undergoing Structural Transformation
What was once a retail-driven speculative market is now solidifying into an institutional cornerstone. As Bitcoin related regulations advance and legal frameworks take shape across individual U.S. states, we anticipate Bitcoin’s behavior to shift away from its historical volatility patterns.
While speculative leverage driven price surges remain a possibility, the foundation supporting Bitcoin is now stronger than ever. This time, we expect Bitcoin to be held with the same conviction as long-duration U.S. Treasuries, positioning it as a legitimate asset class within the global financial system.
Disclaimer This release is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. The information contained herein reflects our perspectives at the time of writing and is subject to change. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial professional before making investment decisions.
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.