Last Time This Happened, Bitcoin Rose Over 60%

By MicheLee
In a previous post about the weekly chart, I touched upon how we were headed toward 50 on the RSI. From there, it had the potential to range between 50 and 45 (within that yellow box), and it looks like we hit the 49 mark and then pivoted. The trend reversal happened once RSI was within fair-market value since it indicates over-bought and over-sold activity. The stochastic RSI bottomed and crossed upward, meaning we have momentum back in the market. The big question now is, how much will price action be impacted by an upward cross in RSI?

We can see the possibility of the upward cross coming soon. This is definitely something we want to keep our eyes on in the coming weeks - especially since we are just coming out of a stochastic RSI bottom with momentum coming back into the market. For craps and giggles, the last time we had an upward cross in RSI on the weekly chart after bouncing back from around 51.75 (aka fair-market value), Bitcoin's price rose 61.5%, from $30,364 to $49,048 (at an RSI of around 86). I'm using that as the primary example as the last upward cross we had was from an RSI of around 80, however Bitcoin still went on a tear, rising almost 52% from $48,601 to $73,794 (where RSI peaked at 92).

It was the tail end of October 2023 when Bitcoin's price took off once the RSI crossed around the 51.75 mark (aka fair-market value - see why this is important?), and peaked in March 2024, ultimately rising 143%.

To say it may be an interesting couple of weeks to months with the potential price action is an understatement.
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