Bitcoin remains in a volatile consolidation range following the May FOMC meeting, where the Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged at 4.25–4.50%, as expected.
🏛️ Federal Reserve Recap:
Decision: No change in rates – aligned with market consensus.
Tone (Powell’s speech): Cautiously hawkish.
Powell acknowledged rising risks of unemployment and inflation, citing uncertainty around recent fiscal, immigration, and trade policies.
Key quote: “We are not currently in a position to begin easing. There is still significant uncertainty.”
🔎 Market takeaway:
The Fed is firmly in wait-and-see mode, unwilling to commit to cuts, but also avoiding overt hawkish signals. Markets remain data-dependent.
📈 BTC/USD Technical Outlook:
Entry Zone (Active): Short from ~97,200
Target 1 (TP1): 92,000 – Key demand zone + horizontal support
Current Price: Holding above 95K
Structure: BTC remains range-bound between 92K–97K awaiting macro clarity
🧠 Trade Implications:
Fed's cautious tone limits bullish breakout potential in the short term.
A dovish shift in tone or soft inflation data could trigger a breakout above 97K toward 100K+.
A re-test of the 92K level remains likely if macro uncertainty persists or DXY rebounds.
🔁 Plan Ahead:
✅ Respect range structure (92K–97K)
✅ Avoid heavy positioning without confirmation
✅ Watch DXY, yields, and upcoming CPI/PPI prints
🧠 Sentiment is neutral/slightly cautious post-FOMC
⚠️ Risk Management Note:
Market conditions remain fragile and sensitive to macro headlines. Always use stop-losses and appropriate position sizing. This is not financial advice – trade responsibly.
🏛️ Federal Reserve Recap:
Decision: No change in rates – aligned with market consensus.
Tone (Powell’s speech): Cautiously hawkish.
Powell acknowledged rising risks of unemployment and inflation, citing uncertainty around recent fiscal, immigration, and trade policies.
Key quote: “We are not currently in a position to begin easing. There is still significant uncertainty.”
🔎 Market takeaway:
The Fed is firmly in wait-and-see mode, unwilling to commit to cuts, but also avoiding overt hawkish signals. Markets remain data-dependent.
📈 BTC/USD Technical Outlook:
Entry Zone (Active): Short from ~97,200
Target 1 (TP1): 92,000 – Key demand zone + horizontal support
Current Price: Holding above 95K
Structure: BTC remains range-bound between 92K–97K awaiting macro clarity
🧠 Trade Implications:
Fed's cautious tone limits bullish breakout potential in the short term.
A dovish shift in tone or soft inflation data could trigger a breakout above 97K toward 100K+.
A re-test of the 92K level remains likely if macro uncertainty persists or DXY rebounds.
🔁 Plan Ahead:
✅ Respect range structure (92K–97K)
✅ Avoid heavy positioning without confirmation
✅ Watch DXY, yields, and upcoming CPI/PPI prints
🧠 Sentiment is neutral/slightly cautious post-FOMC
⚠️ Risk Management Note:
Market conditions remain fragile and sensitive to macro headlines. Always use stop-losses and appropriate position sizing. This is not financial advice – trade responsibly.
Trade active
🛑 Market Update (Post-FOMC Reaction):Markets are turning red across the board following Powell's press conference. Despite no rate change, the Fed's refusal to commit to any near-term easing, coupled with concerns about trade policy uncertainty and inflation risks, is triggering risk-off behavior.
📉 BTC is pulling back sharply, and equities like Nasdaq are under pressure as well. This reinforces our short thesis toward 92K.
🔍 We continue to monitor BTC’s reaction near the 94K–95K zone. A clean break below could accelerate downside toward 92K and beyond.
🧠 Reminder: Macro tone is still unclear. Until Fed pivots or inflation data softens, upside for BTC may remain capped.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.