If Bitcoin is able to create new highs and break through within this medium-term upward trend, we should see a nice top off at $150,000 nearing the end of 2025, entering a bear market / red market 2026. 2026 - 2027 would be a bear year / red year. Price would bottom near $30-$40,000. I do not see BTC price ever coming back to sub levels of -$20,000 unless a catastrophic event has occurred. Beginning of 2028 - 2030 we should see another bull run / green years. This currently makes the most sense, but a negative outlook makes sense too and should be considered.
White House Crypto Summit (Thoughts);
I do not like the idea of the government getting involved into bitcoin. Here's why,
The whole point of Bitcoin is to escape government control and inflation, right? But here’s the problem—governments control the currency people use most to buy Bitcoin: the U.S. dollar. Since they can print unlimited USD, they can buy Bitcoin off-market (OTC) in massive amounts without affecting the public price.
Whales—big BTC holders—see this and start selling to the government since they know the government has endless money. Over time, the government becomes one of the biggest Bitcoin holders, all while the retail market keeps buying, thinking they’re the ones pushing the price up.
Now, imagine a future where the government holds most of the Bitcoin supply. What happens? They can start influencing the network, controlling transactions, or even dumping BTC whenever they want to manipulate the market. In the end, Bitcoin wouldn’t be the decentralized, free-market currency it was meant to be—it would be just another asset controlled by the same system people were trying to escape.
That’s why this is a problem.
White House Crypto Summit (Thoughts);
I do not like the idea of the government getting involved into bitcoin. Here's why,
The whole point of Bitcoin is to escape government control and inflation, right? But here’s the problem—governments control the currency people use most to buy Bitcoin: the U.S. dollar. Since they can print unlimited USD, they can buy Bitcoin off-market (OTC) in massive amounts without affecting the public price.
Whales—big BTC holders—see this and start selling to the government since they know the government has endless money. Over time, the government becomes one of the biggest Bitcoin holders, all while the retail market keeps buying, thinking they’re the ones pushing the price up.
Now, imagine a future where the government holds most of the Bitcoin supply. What happens? They can start influencing the network, controlling transactions, or even dumping BTC whenever they want to manipulate the market. In the end, Bitcoin wouldn’t be the decentralized, free-market currency it was meant to be—it would be just another asset controlled by the same system people were trying to escape.
That’s why this is a problem.
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.