Market chose the second path as it could not make a push through both the MAs to close well above the congested range.
The second path is to have deeper correction or "much deeper" if the MM wants to take Xmas early for such a year. So, keep your eyes open for signals of both cases. 52-53k is the level to watch.
Monthly chart may lead market to 44k or lower (it's all possible). But from there, BTC is on sideways mode, and take a lot of time to accumulate to resume the trend (if still) or distribute (if bearish for next year)