Currently, Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is trading around $104,800. Up slightly but still digesting a sharp reversal that rattled short-term bulls.
Recent Price Action: Rejection From $112K
Back on 22nd May, Bitcoin surged to a new high near $112,000, fueled by bullish momentum, institutional flows, and strong on-chain accumulation. However, that breakout was swiftly rejected, and BTC fell as low as $103,400.
This kind of "bull trap" reversal highlights a few key dynamics:
1) Overextended sentiment: The rally above $110K was not supported by volume or follow-through, suggesting exhaustion.
2) Profit-taking by large holders or institutions likely triggered a cascade of stop-losses, accelerating the decline.
3) Liquidation clusters in leveraged long positions likely exacerbated the drop.
Bitcoin is now attempting to reclaim stability around the $104K–$105K range.
🔍 Technical Snapshot
- Support Zones at $103,000 and $93,200
- Resistance Levels at $112,000 (ATH)
Price is still above the 50 & 200-day SMAs, which could be a bullish longer-term signal.
In addition, the price remains above the upper band of the cloud, but momentum is stalling. A decisive bounce off the cloud could reignite bullish sentiment. Or falling into the cloud could trigger more uncertainty and downside.
Macro tailwinds: Concerns over U.S. fiscal stability and potential Fed rate cuts could keep Bitcoin attractive as a non-sovereign asset.
📈 Projection Scenarios
Bullish Case:
If BTC consolidates above $107K, we could see another attempt and retest of $112K.
Bearish Case:
Failure to hold above $103K could see Bitcoin revisit $100K, and if that breaks, downside opens toward the $93K level.
🧭 Insight & Takeaway
The current reversal serves as a healthy reminder that no trend goes up in a straight line. Especially not in crypto.
It likely shook out overleveraged longs, reset sentiment, and may give the market room to breathe before the next leg up.
The long-term trend remains intact, but expect more volatility before any clean break to new highs.
Always DYOR and DYODD and manage your risk.
Recent Price Action: Rejection From $112K
Back on 22nd May, Bitcoin surged to a new high near $112,000, fueled by bullish momentum, institutional flows, and strong on-chain accumulation. However, that breakout was swiftly rejected, and BTC fell as low as $103,400.
This kind of "bull trap" reversal highlights a few key dynamics:
1) Overextended sentiment: The rally above $110K was not supported by volume or follow-through, suggesting exhaustion.
2) Profit-taking by large holders or institutions likely triggered a cascade of stop-losses, accelerating the decline.
3) Liquidation clusters in leveraged long positions likely exacerbated the drop.
Bitcoin is now attempting to reclaim stability around the $104K–$105K range.
🔍 Technical Snapshot
- Support Zones at $103,000 and $93,200
- Resistance Levels at $112,000 (ATH)
Price is still above the 50 & 200-day SMAs, which could be a bullish longer-term signal.
In addition, the price remains above the upper band of the cloud, but momentum is stalling. A decisive bounce off the cloud could reignite bullish sentiment. Or falling into the cloud could trigger more uncertainty and downside.
Macro tailwinds: Concerns over U.S. fiscal stability and potential Fed rate cuts could keep Bitcoin attractive as a non-sovereign asset.
📈 Projection Scenarios
Bullish Case:
If BTC consolidates above $107K, we could see another attempt and retest of $112K.
Bearish Case:
Failure to hold above $103K could see Bitcoin revisit $100K, and if that breaks, downside opens toward the $93K level.
🧭 Insight & Takeaway
The current reversal serves as a healthy reminder that no trend goes up in a straight line. Especially not in crypto.
It likely shook out overleveraged longs, reset sentiment, and may give the market room to breathe before the next leg up.
The long-term trend remains intact, but expect more volatility before any clean break to new highs.
Always DYOR and DYODD and manage your risk.
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Join my mailing list jindaotai.com/joinme
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.