(WEEKLY TIME FRAME)
In recent weeks, Bitcoin has undergone a significant price surge, entering a phase of notable price discovery and achieving new yearly highs by surpassing the previous consolidation range.
Historical research reveals a consistent pattern of Bitcoin accumulation in past market cycles.
The initial wave typically occurs shortly after Bitcoin hits its All-Time High in a market cycle, with prices swiftly moving away from that peak. The second wave transpires during the Bear Market's trough, as the price floor for that cycle is established and tested. The third wave unfolds post-cycle bottom, with prices showing an upward trend in anticipation of the Bitcoin halving.
It's crucial to acknowledge that the previous market cycle experienced a significant correction following the third wave of accumulation, leading to a downward price trend until March of the halving year.
Currently, Bitcoin has reached a High-Volume Node on the Volume Profile, indicating a zone with substantial potential supply or selling pressure. This observation underscores the importance of closely monitoring market dynamics and potential corrections in the ongoing bullish trend.
Bitcoin has successfully converted prior resistance into a support level, leading to a period of consolidation as traders anticipate a potential breakout.
Conversely, if Bitcoin is unable to solidify the former resistance as support, it may experience a decisive breakdown, reverting back to a previous trading range.
After analyzing Bitcoin across various time frames, we have concluded that there is a significant likelihood of BTC ranging between approximately 33,500 and 30,000. However, in the long term, the outlook remains bullish.
A similar pattern was observed in the last bull run, where a substantial final drop occurred, eliminating inexperienced and small traders, before the onset of the bullish market. Therefore, it is advisable to stay vigilant, adapt to Bitcoin's movements, and continue learning to navigate potential market fluctuations.