BITCOIN Analysis - Do We See a Small Bounce?!

Updated
Previous analysis scenarios have played out nicely - the price got a break below the counter-trendline and as expected, the price has slowly decreased the value.

From a technical perspective, BTC price is still above the down trendlines and currently, it is on the major down trendline pulled from 29. November. It should act as pretty strong support and actually, it has proven it already - several bounces upwards but those are small bounces and to make a bigger bounce upwards we need support from altcoins.

From the price structure wise it has still nice and clear higher highs and higher lows which all indicate that the mid-term trend should be upwards but recently is common on the crypto market that everything happens in slow motion.

Currently, the price is still on the potential bounce area:
1. It is on the trendline which acts as a support
2. Fibonacci golden ratio of 62%
3. Old resistances becomes support levels
4. Market structure is on the bullish side with higher highs and higher lows since the beginning of the February

Very nice criteria which all might indicate that we could see a bounce upwards. Now, we need a little bit of support from altcoins and the move upwards should start. Can't promise wide/high movements because as said everything happens in the slow motion but technically it should be okay spot to start another wave upwards.

Another wave downwards may start after we have seen at least 4H candle close below the black trendline - a little bit deeper close, let's say a close below $3,655 (red box is the confirmation area)

SUMMARY: I wait for a small bounce upwards but I'm ready to change my bias IF the price drops inside the red box and if the 4H or 1H candle closes there or below of it.


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*This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only!

Note
As expected we got a bounce from the mentioned level and BTC price have made first steps upwards. To hold that momentum and that movement then altcoins should react more aggressively. Currently, they are on the plus side but it has to be a bit bigger.
At the moment everything goes as I had planned and let's see how the market reacts!
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All the best!
Note
Perfect, everything goes as I have planned. We got a nice bounce from the mentioned area, we got support from altcoins and at the moment the price has made first steps upwards into the first target area - around $3,850!
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Note
Yesterday we reached into the major target area - $3,850
If we look at the Daily chart then the yesterday's candle close was really promising which will be a sign that today we could see a continuation move upwards, candle close was higher than on the consolidation period.
Again we have to watch altcoins, they are also starting to line up (some of them are on the plus side some of them are on the minus side).
Need to collect more data on this level and I try to keep You updated!
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Thank You very much for the support, it means a lot to me!
All the best!
Note
Be ready, we might see a correction downwards!
Currently, we have a bearish chart pattern called Rising Wedge and at the moment the price trying to make a breakout from lower trendline. If it gets confirmed then there is a higher chance that we go a bit lower into the old consolidation area $3,750-$3,800.
This is just an alert that You have to be cautious. As said yesterday, Tuesday's candle was promising to make another wave upwards so, let's see do this move is just a small throwback and we get a bounce sooner than we could expect.
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Note
New BTC analysis:
BITCOIN Price Overview

Have a nice weekend!
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