Short

“Smart Money’s Play Zone”

Updated

Here’s what I’m seeing: Bitcoin just broke above a key resistance level, marked by the green downward-sloping line. This could indicate some bullish momentum, but we need to be cautious—it might be a false breakout if it doesn’t hold above $98,200.

Now, check out the white parallel lines—they form a descending channel, and those arrows point to critical support levels at $97,401 and $96,403. If Bitcoin retraces, those are the areas where we might see a bounce or consolidation.

Right now, we’re at a decision point. If the breakout holds, we could see more upside. But if selling pressure kicks in and it drops back below $97,401, it’s likely heading down toward $96,403. Either way, I’m watching these levels closely for the next move.

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Regardless of how this unfolds, the price is bound to reverse—just like gravity pulling everything back down. I say this with confidence, already knowing the path that lies ahead.

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Here’s the latest update: Smart money has adjusted its price target.
• Previous target: $97,401 → New target: $97,829
• Previous dip level: $96,403 → Now: $97,829

As always, the same rules apply—I’ll wait for this updated price range to be met. From there, we’ll either see a move upward or a continuation downward toward the new target of $97,829.

Check out this idea to compare the previous targets with the latest updates.

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Yes, Bitcoin remains bullish— no question about it. As for the bigger picture, you already know what’s at play. I shared that idea already.

I see many of you discussing my lower prices and, admittedly, some might be ready to put me on trial for these lower price calls. All I ask is for a little patience—let this scenario unfold. I wouldn’t be pointing to these downside targets if I wasn’t confident in my reasoning.

You’ve seen how the latest updates compare to previous price levels, and that’s what trading means to me—an ever-evolving process. My goal is to be as accurate as possible when it comes to calling price targets, even if perfection isn’t guaranteed. I understand that many of you know I’m still relatively new to this. While I may lack experience now, I’m determined to gain it, especially once I develop a solid algorithm. Thanks for bearing with me during this journey.

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I made it crystal clear hours ago—this was a bull trap, and a price reversal was inevitable. Institutions won’t be playing hardball with me anymore—not while I’m paying close attention.

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**New Update:** Bitcoin is no longer bearish on the lower timeframes, but one critical obstacle remains. Bitcoin must break above $98,758; otherwise, a minor rejection could occur. The rejection isn’t expected to be significant, so it may not be worth adding further levels at this time. If Bitcoin surpasses $98,758, I’ll cancel this idea and shift focus to a new one.

**How did this help us?**

1. **Cautious traders:** Those who stayed out of the trade due to uncertainty avoided unnecessary risk and protected their capital.

2. **Short-term traders:** Traders who entered at higher levels or saw minimal profit likely felt relieved, knowing a sharp correction wasn’t imminent. Why? Because I provided key levels, allowing you to wait with clarity and confidence that any pullback wouldn’t be severe.

3. **Long-term traders:** This helped long-term holders by reinforcing their confidence, knowing exactly how low Bitcoin might go. With that information, they likely stayed patient and held their positions through the volatility.

This is called trading

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I’m upgrading my trading system to a higher, institutional-grade level, which means a significant improvement in our trading outcomes. As we progress, you'll notice that our targets are consistently being hit—or at least coming very close—within tighter price ranges, leading to greater real-time profitability. This upgrade will enhance our ability to navigate even smaller timeframes, which typically carry higher risk, but will now become more manageable and effective, as demonstrated by today's results.

Trade closed: target reached

Previous Target: $97,401, later updated to $97,829. Last night, Bitcoin was confirmed bullish on the 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes, but it needed to break above $98,758 to maintain that bullish momentum. Since it failed to do so, a minor drop followed, with price falling to $97,250—an update I couldn’t provide at the time because I was away.

Current Situation:
As mentioned earlier, when Bitcoin hit $97,401 (later revised to $97,829), two possibilities were expected: either further decline or an upward move. Now, we’re seeing the latter—price is moving upwards, as predicted.

Institutional Upgrade:
I’ve been working on combining two strategies for price movements across different timeframes. By mixing the 4-hour timeframe with the hourly timeframe, I discovered something interesting—this combination clearly indicated that a price drop was imminent. The result was impressive, providing greater precision in anticipating market behavior.

Outlook:
While Bitcoin remains bullish in the broader picture, the hourly and 30-minute timeframes have now turned bearish. Shorter timeframes are generating too much noise, so I’ll focus more on the daily chart to get a clearer sense of the trend. For now, the market remains highly volatile.

The initial target has been reached. Stay tuned—I’ll be sharing new price targets soon.

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Price currently holds a short position at $96,521. No lower targets have been confirmed yet, so exercise caution when encountering information predicting a price crash.

My daily analysis signals that a dump is looming. How it unfolds will depend on several factors, so it’s crucial to stay vigilant as the situation develops.

Keep in mind—prices update hourly. That’s why my primary focus remains on real-time updates to provide the most accurate and timely insights. Stay alert!

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For those wondering how we can tell if prices will fall significantly deeper, here’s what to watch:
Check your 4-hour volume chart—make sure it’s set to the volume chart type. The critical level is $96,121. If a 4-hour candle closes at or below $96,121, my analysis aligns with what I predicted yesterday: prices are likely to drop further, targeting $94,452 or $92,730.

While prices are expected to decline but with much delay, what’s currently stabilizing them is BTC.D.
USDT.D, which appears to be trapped at 4.05% through whale manipulation which is preventing a sharper spike—otherwise, we’d already be seeing much lower crypto prices.

On the daily timeframe, USDT.D currently reads bearish. Whether this bearish trend continues will become clearer after 4 PM PT, which could indicate whether prices will keep rising or reverse downward.

I hope this explanation provides clarity. Feel free to cross-check with your own analysis as we navigate the market together!

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FYI—my previous comment does not invalidate the pending short position I mentioned earlier. Keep in mind, that short position is still active within the 4-hour timeframe I just explained. When I update my blog, don’t simply glance over it—take the time to read carefully and understand the context. Every detail matters.

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Good morning, traders:
Heads up—moving forward, my primary focus will be on analyzing pure institutional activity and tracking their movements. This shift is essential as I’ve realized something critical during my recent upgrades: the way smart money operates is vastly different from traditional price structures. Relying on typical tools like gaps, support, and resistance levels won’t yield consistent results because smart money doesn’t respect these boundaries—they create them as illusions to manipulate retail traders into believing those are the true price ranges.

Consider this: when analyzing charts on TradingView, have you ever wondered why price often avoids hitting the zones you mark? Or why, even after identifying what appears to be a clear price range, it either remains unfilled or behaves unpredictably? Anything that looks too obvious on the charts is likely a trap. In my view, these crystal-clear setups are red flags deliberately created by smart money to lure retail traders into poor decisions.

At this point, I’m still relatively new to this approach, so I’d advise caution before following my lead. However, I’m committed to mastering the movements of smart money, and once I do, I believe it could bring significant disruption to the crypto market. Retail traders, if united and properly informed, could eventually rival smart money players. Unfortunately, many retail traders will continue ignoring sound advice and mishandle their trading strategies, leaving them vulnerable to further manipulation.

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The short position of **$96,521** has been canceled due to a noticeable price shift. Please note that **USDT.D** movements, especially during fund inflows and outflows, can cause such price changes—this appears to be the case now. With this shift in mind, I’m now anticipating a **bull run**, reflected clearly on the daily timeframe. Prepare accordingly.

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Be patient as the market continues to unfold—volatility remains, and there are valid reasons behind it. I’ll be available throughout the day, ready to adapt as soon as the bull run begins, with the limited insights I’ve gathered from studying smart money institutions. Remember, this isn’t just a local market; we’re dealing with a global network of traders.

Honestly, I never realized what I had signed up for until now, as outlined below. So, I ask for a bit of understanding as I work toward my goal: to snipe every single one of these market players. Your compliments—whether you believe it or not—fuel my energy and drive. I may not always express it, but I truly appreciate it.

Here’s a categorized and prioritized list of market participants based on their impact on market dynamics, influence on price movement, and capital control:
________________________________________
High-Impact Participants
These participants control large amounts of capital, directly influence price action, and can shift market trends:
1. Central Banks
2. Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWFs)
3. Banks
4. Hedge Funds
5. Proprietary Trading Firms
6. Dark Pools
7. Whales
8. High-Frequency Traders (HFTs)
9. Market Makers
10. Corporate Treasuries
________________________________________
Moderate-Impact Participants
These participants play a significant role in providing liquidity, managing large portfolios, and influencing specific sectors or assets:
1. Pension Funds
2. Family Offices
3. Investment Funds (Mutual Funds, ETFs)
4. Liquidity Providers
5. Venture Capital (VC) Firms
6. Shadow Banks
7. Prop Desks at Exchanges
8. Quant Funds
________________________________________
Localized or Niche-Impact Participants
These participants have less direct influence on large markets but can cause localized volatility, especially in specific assets or during coordinated actions:
1. Retail Traders
2. Retail Funds/Communities
3. Speculators
4. Options and Derivatives Traders
5. Algo Traders
6. Mining Pools
7. Exchanges
8. Broker-Dealers
9. Arbitrageurs
10. Sharks
________________________________________
Government and Regulatory Bodies
While not directly trading, these participants exert significant indirect influence through policies, regulations, and interventions:
1. Governments
2. Regulatory Bodies

I will confront each of these groups head-on and take every necessary action, no matter what it requires, as I swore to myself I would—driven by the lasting impact they had on me during my early, unlearned days. The severe damage they caused fuels my determination to see this through.

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How are institutions likely viewing this? Without a doubt, they recognize the power of the daily timeframe. They understand that while the daily chart takes time to play out, retail traders are impatient, always seeking a quick profit. With this knowledge, they strategically manipulate the trend during consolidation phases.

They see that the 4-hour timeframe appears bullish, but the underlying data reveals weakness. I know exactly what they see. They’re aware that retail traders won’t hesitate to step aside when volume lacks strength—and right now, the volume is indeed weak. Pay close attention to that.

So, what’s the verdict? All timeframes are signaling bullish. But when I refer to volume, I’m not talking about retail volume; I’m referring to whale volume. Currently, whale volume is surging.

These institutional players—the predators—are skilled at creating an illusion, making things appear opposite to what they truly are. That’s the essence of their game. I’ll conclude with this: willingness—willingness to see through their tactics.

I’ll also add that during this ongoing pump, I can clearly recognize their strategy, thanks to the subtle insights gained from my upgraded institutional trading approach meaning don’t let the price candle close at $98,316—if it does, the price is likely headed back down to the $97,944–$97,571 range, despite other timeframes indicating different moves and if they change the shift, my data also makes that quick shift.

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The target of $99,313 as mentioned 5 hours ago down at the comments has now been reached.

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Be cautious when reacting to price movements as you enter the market. While higher price targets may be anticipated, short-term traders must stay vigilant. Always check how recent my updates are when reading this blog, as timing is critical. Using an older update to make trading decisions may lead to being caught in a trap, as market conditions can shift rapidly. Remember, technical analysis evolves by the hour. Stay adaptive.

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I’ve been closely tracking a target of $104,389 since yesterday. How can we tell if the trend will continue? Dark pools and whales have distorted Bitcoin’s volume by introducing an unknown threshold, making it difficult to rely solely on traditional volume metrics.

Moments ago, USDT.D signaled that Bitcoin’s price could continue upward, driven by underlying liquidity shifts. While the visible volume may appear bearish, the influence of smart money—operating behind the scenes—has the strength to push prices higher. This manipulation creates the illusion of weakness, but in reality, the market remains primed for further upside.

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Bitcoin’s volume appears ready to decline, but behind the scenes, dark pools and other institutional players are stepping in, adding hidden volume to support the price. Traders, it’s important to understand—this type of volume can’t be compared to retail volume. It’s simply on a different level. Even if retail traders start selling, it may cause some short-term devaluation, but against these market predators, retail selling has little impact.

This bull run is primed to continue upward, regardless of retail activity. For now, that’s the current outlook. As I’ve mentioned many times before, TA updates frequently every hour. STAY ALERT

Will the $104,389 happen today, that’s the ATR reading.

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Yesterday, I developed a clear direction for where the trend is headed, which also helps in leveling ATR levels and also when using PIPS.

A calculation of 1,096 pips corresponds to a price range of $104,394 on the 4 hour timeframe with a stop loss at $100,326.

So, now you know where the price drops.

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USDT.D may be rising, which currently contributes to the price decline, but there’s a clear signal indicating an imminent drop. Once that happens, it’s likely to trigger a significant price surge.

What will truly make me cheerful is knowing that many have profited from this. I’m eagerly looking forward to hearing about your success.

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ATR thresholds are set at $101,361 on the 5-minute timeframe and $101,111 on the 7-minute timeframe, with a stop loss at $100,326. Prices may dip to $100,585 or $99,994, providing additional clarity for comparison with your analysis.

As prices fluctuate, this approach helps identify potential liquidation levels that can fuel Bitcoin’s momentum, offering valuable insight into market dynamics.

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Altcoin traders—this is where we stand. BTC.D continues to rise, while TOTAL3 holds steady, setting the stage for a potential push in altcoins. Stay patient—the time is approaching.

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Keep your focus locked (into the space orbit) on the bigger picture—aim high and don’t lose sight. I may unveil two combined bullish signals later today, merging the one-week and two-week timeframes into a single wave. With both aligning, it’s clear that Bitcoin has other intentions, potentially driving it to a specific price level.

As I mentioned weeks ago, there’s a key price in play. While I will reveal it soon, I’m holding back for now—not to keep you in the dark, but to prevent smart money from exploiting it. Stay tuned and don’t aim downwards.

We’ve also reached a point where some of the herd in the crowd will begin predicting a price crash. Whether you choose to follow those predictions is entirely up to you.

Smart money has created chart structure to deceive.

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My latest development detects consolidation based on price movement, automatically updating to display a range between $100,489 as support and $102,500. This is derived from my most recent ATR updates. As long as I’m here, it’s like cornering smart money into their own game, leaving them with no way out. You can listen, but as for the rest—I can’t speak for them.

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Be cautious when following my TA, as I’ve mentioned before—I’m still new to this. While my work is in progress, I appreciate your patience during this development phase.

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Any doubts? are some of you wondering what's bitcoins next move? I'll have an update in minutes.

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Here’s the latest USDT.D signal I received. This signal works in both directions. On the 8-hour timeframe, USDT.D is showing a potential pump followed by a dump. If this plays out, Bitcoin might experience a minor correction before resuming its upward trend.

Why is this significant? Because smaller timeframes need to refuel their bullish momentum. If USDT.D spikes and gets rejected, Bitcoin will likely continue its upward movement. I’ve backtested this scenario and observed similar behavior on the 8-hour timeframe, where these fluctuations influenced price ranges.

In my opinion, it’s time for a temporary price push down, but a reversal to the upside seems imminent—and this time, the move up could be stronger. How do I know momentum will increase? I have several factors supporting this, which I’ll reveal in my upcoming idea.

On the daily timeframe, my analysis is driven by what I refer to as "liquidity power," a key metric that helps me anticipate upcoming moves. Based on this, what’s likely to happen after 4 PM PT? I expect the price to give a false impression of falling, only to push right back up shortly after.

For more context, check out my most recent idea, “Dynamic Liquidity Analyzer.” Take a close look at the panel indicator—many of you might have seen it but didn’t fully appreciate its significance. Follow the waves carefully.

Keep in mind, while the indicator is designed for the daily timeframe, I’ve adapted it to work effectively on the 4-hour timeframe as well.

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Smart Money had their checkpoints, but those have been neutralized. There’s no escape—as I test my developments, it feels like they’re scrambling like foxes the moment they’re detected.

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The target remains unchanged at $104,389, as mentioned yesterday. Stop loss still remains at $100,326.

The_ForexX_Mindset

"You hear the wind, but where does it go?"

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