Welcome friends and haters alike, to this update analysis on BITCOIN! Let's jump right in! Looking at the four hour chart, you can see that my hypothetical inverse head and shoulders pattern is playing out nicely. The right shoulder is nearly completed, and I've got to say, it feels good to see that my analysis holds true, illuminating the way like a blazing torch in a dark forest of evil naysayers who creep among the trees. Looking at the chart, we can see another positive sign, as BTC has just surpassed the falling dotted blue trendline (Breakout!) However, BTC still has some more overhead resistance to contend with. We have the dashed green trendline, which has been supportive for the majority of the run to the all-time high, we have the neckline of the inverse head and shoulders pattern, and we're still kind of flirting with the 78.6% retrace. The 50 EMA (in orange) has been surpassed, and that's something I want to talk about. You can see that BTC is beginning to breach the 50 EMA more frequently. This is decreasing the recent resistiveness of that level, so perhaps we will stay above it this time. I want to stress, however, (for educational purposes only) that we should never ever trade a pattern, until we actually see the breakout! A breakout above the black neckline is required, to complete the inverse head and shoulders pattern. The vertical dotted black trendline represents the target area of a rally equal to the full potential of the inverse head and shoulders pattern. In other words, a breakout of the pattern will likely result in a test of the top of the downtrend channel (in pink.) We're still working under a huge bullish divergence on the MACD, and we've just crossed over bullish above the zero line. If you look at the recent volume, it's also mostly composed of green bars, which confirms the momentum and the return of the bulls. The question now is, can the bulls follow through? A breakout above the black neckline will confirm the follow through. A failure, and subsequent decline, will be cause to reassess the development of this chart. Keep in mind, that head and shoulders patterns can occasionally retest the right shoulder. We are in a critical area right now, so we will have to watch closely to see how things develop. Good luck trading, everyone!
This has been your not-so-humble market wizard, droppin' knowledge like bombs in this place! Please follow, comment, like, and share on social media. Good luck trading everyone!
***This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only.***
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-JD-