Bitcoin
Short
Updated

prognosis: stay short on longer timeframes (BTCUSD)

there is a lot of rabble rousing, stronk posting and hodling out there in the bitcoin space right now because we pulled back from the lows. i think its quite possibke that we 4hr bearflag, and this carries back up to the weekly timeframe where we have been bearish since november 2021. the bottom line is that we are at the upper bounds of a channel since then, and unless we immediately break it to the upside we have not reversed the downtrend. shooting star or bear doji would confirm my suspicions that this is a weak market.
Note
i think were about to see qqe short entries on multiple timeframes based on what this potential pattern would do to rsi:
snapshot
Note
target 38123.45 🤷 it looks like a random level but its not
Note
topfishing if we hit 425
Note
as you can see btc is losing market cap
snapshot
Note
if you are getting more bullish on btc as dxy continues its trajectory upward youre gonna have a bad time
Note
snapshot
Note
aiming for 39225
Note
the price is threatening to break below the lower band of auto anchored vwap:
snapshot
Note
we would need to get above 432 for longs to hold water:
snapshot
odds are higher that we bearflag
Note
topfishing any move that sets a lower high hourly next sell target 42198 gap close
snapshot
Trade closed manually
cut half loose here let some ride stop 42525.25
Note
were down roughly a percent... good region to cover
Note
topfish if we get up to 425 and reject
if we start breaking above 426 and confirm id look for 444
Note
qqe has punched in a very odd long entry im curious to see where it goes
snapshot
Trade closed manually
cover everything
Note
this range/cypher appears to be breaking bull
snapshot
Note
typical to see a pullback from lows in a downtrend
heres how i slice it in terms of retracement:
snapshot
Note
if we reject from 422 it would remain sell
Note
if we break 419 i think well get a really nice rug pull
Note
every touch of upper bb has been bearish since november:
snapshot
strong trend it will take a lot to change it
Trade closed manually
good area to cover half again
Note
unless we break to new lows cover everything
Note
if we get into a region where the price overbuys rsi and breaks the uptrend rejecting 422 this could get into reshort territory with a short entry on qqe 5 minutes
Note
id imagine if the .5 is our higher low that we bounce around in a tightening range for weeks
snapshot
Note
covering is likely the best option
snapshot
we hit .618 daily

Disclaimer