Bitcoin at support between 78600 and 76600. Key levels to watch.

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Key levels to watch on BTC BTCUSDT.P BTCUSD BTCUSD
If S-1 Doesn't hold I expect BTC to test the 400 EMA and possibly reclaim the vector candle zone/Support 2 at 73800 where we faced resistance back in Mar. 2024 and Oct. 2024.
There's a couple other vector candle zones above S-3 that principal says would get reclaimed as well. I don't see price making its way to S-3 unless the macro environment really starts to deteriorate and the economy moves into a recession. Worst case scenario in my opinion for BTC is between 49k and 54k. All of these levels depends on the tariff situation and the overall market dynamics in the United States. Its also possible that the tariff situation plays out and we don't see levels under S-2. I will be buying at S-2 and adding heavier if we start to reclaim vector candles under S-2. If we see price get to S-3 over the next few weeks to months I will be buying heavily and probably will deploy 90% of whatever cash position is remaining. For clarification I don't put much stock into diagonal trend lines and wedge patterns but they can sometimes act as support and resistance even though they are very speculative. As far as upside moves, there is a resistance zone between 85200 and 88600 and the 200 EMA is also in that zone currently. I do expect the low at 76500 to be broken and rallies are for selling. For more clarification, I'm not short when I say rallies are for selling, I just mean I don't see any sustained upside until the tariff situation plays out and the market has some certainty.

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